{"id":29929,"date":"2014-11-25T07:00:16","date_gmt":"2014-11-25T15:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=29929"},"modified":"2014-11-25T07:56:00","modified_gmt":"2014-11-25T15:56:00","slug":"case-shiller-home-prices-slip-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/11\/25\/case-shiller-home-prices-slip-fall\/","title":{"rendered":"Case-Shiller: Home Prices Slip Further Into Fall"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the <a title=\"S&amp;P\/Case-Shiller\u00ae Home Price Indices\" href=\"http:\/\/us.spindices.com\/index-family\/real-estate\/sp-case-shiller\">Case-Shiller Home Price Index<\/a>.  According to September data, Seattle-area home prices were:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Down<\/em> 0.2% August to September<br \/>\n<strong>Up 6.0% YOY.<\/strong><br \/>\n<em>Down<\/em> 11.3% from the July 2007 peak<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Last year at this time prices were still rising. They increased 0.3% from August to September and year-over-year prices were up 13.2% (the highest point gains have hit since late 2006).<\/p>\n<p>Year-over-year prie gains continued to shrink thanks to month-over-month changes that were once again smaller than last year. We&#8217;re in the typical fall\/winter cooldown period now, just a couple months earlier than we were last year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an interactive graph of the year-over-year change for all twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities, courtesy of <a href=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/\" title=\"Tableau Software\">Tableau Software<\/a>  (check and un-check the boxes on the right):<\/p>\n<div style=\"height: 700px; margin: 0 auto;\">\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<div class=\"tableauPlaceholder\" style=\"width:604px; height:669px;\"><noscript><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/11\/25\/case-shiller-home-prices-slip-further-into-fall\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"YOY Change\" src=\"http:&#47;&#47;public.tableausoftware.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Ca&#47;Case-Shiller-YOY&#47;YOYChange&#47;1_rss.png\" style=\"border: none\" \/><\/a><\/noscript><object class=\"tableauViz\" width=\"604\" height=\"669\" style=\"display:none;\"><param name=\"host_url\" value=\"http%3A%2F%2Fpublic.tableausoftware.com%2F\" \/><param name=\"site_root\" value=\"\" \/><param name=\"name\" value=\"Case-Shiller-YOY&#47;YOYChange\" \/><param name=\"tabs\" value=\"no\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"static_image\" value=\"http:&#47;&#47;public.tableausoftware.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Ca&#47;Case-Shiller-YOY&#47;YOYChange&#47;1.png\" \/><param name=\"animate_transition\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_static_image\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_spinner\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_overlay\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_count\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><\/div>\n<div style=\"width:604px;height:22px;padding:0px 10px 0px 0px;color:black;font:normal 8pt verdana,helvetica,arial,sans-serif;\">\n<div style=\"float:right; padding-right:8px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tableausoftware.com\/public?ref=http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/views\/Case-Shiller-YOY\/YOYChange\" target=\"_blank\">Powered by Tableau<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Seattle&#8217;s position for month-over-month changes was steady at #16 in September.  Miami, Charlotte, Las Vegas, Dallas, Denver, Tampa, Portland, Cleveland, Minneapolis, Los Angeles, New York, Boston, San Diego, Phoenix, and Detroit all saw home prices rise more or fall less between August and September than they did in Seattle.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Case-ShillerHPI_MOM_2014-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29929]\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Case-ShillerHPI_MOM_2014-09.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Hit the jump for the rest of our monthly Case-Shiller charts, including the interactive chart of raw index data for all 20 cities.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->In September, six of the twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities gained more year-over-year than Seattle (one fewer than August):<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Miami at +10.3%<\/li>\n<li>Las Vegas at +9.1%<\/li>\n<li>San Francisco at +7.9%<\/li>\n<li>Dallas at +7.4%<\/li>\n<li>Portland at +6.7%<\/li>\n<li>Denver at +6.2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Thirteen cities gained less than Seattle as of September: Los Angeles, Tampa, San Diego, Detroit, Atlanta, Boston, Charlotte, Minneapolis, Phoenix, New York, Chicago, Washington, and Cleveland.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the interactive chart of the raw HPI for all twenty cities through September.<\/p>\n<div style=\"height: 700px; margin: 0 auto;\">\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<div class=\"tableauPlaceholder\" style=\"width:604px; height:669px;\"><noscript><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/11\/25\/case-shiller-home-prices-slip-further-into-fall\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI \" src=\"http:&#47;&#47;public.tableausoftware.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Ca&#47;Case-Shiller&#47;Case-ShillerHPI&#47;1_rss.png\" style=\"border: none\" \/><\/a><\/noscript><object class=\"tableauViz\" width=\"604\" height=\"669\" style=\"display:none;\"><param name=\"host_url\" value=\"http%3A%2F%2Fpublic.tableausoftware.com%2F\" \/><param name=\"site_root\" value=\"\" \/><param name=\"name\" value=\"Case-Shiller&#47;Case-ShillerHPI\" \/><param name=\"tabs\" value=\"no\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"static_image\" value=\"http:&#47;&#47;public.tableausoftware.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Ca&#47;Case-Shiller&#47;Case-ShillerHPI&#47;1.png\" \/><param name=\"animate_transition\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_static_image\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_spinner\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_overlay\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_count\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><\/div>\n<div style=\"width:604px;height:22px;padding:0px 10px 0px 0px;color:black;font:normal 8pt verdana,helvetica,arial,sans-serif;\">\n<div style=\"float:right; padding-right:8px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tableausoftware.com\/public?ref=http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/views\/Case-Shiller\/Case-ShillerHPI\" target=\"_blank\">Powered by Tableau<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an update to the peak-decline graph, inspired by a graph <a title=\"Comment by CrystalBall\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/01\/29\/case-shiller-november-seattle-playing-catch-up\/#comment-38661\">created by reader CrystalBall<\/a>.  This chart takes the twelve cities whose peak index was greater than 175, and tracks how far they have fallen so far from their peak.  The horizontal axis shows the total number of months since each individual city peaked.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Case-ShillerHPI_Decline-From-Peak_2014-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29929]\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Case-ShillerHPI_Decline-From-Peak_2014-09.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In the eighty-five months since the price peak in Seattle prices have declined 11.3%.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, let&#8217;s see what month in the past Seattle&#8217;s current prices most compare to. As of September 2014, Seattle prices are still roughly right around where they were in March 2006.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Case-ShillerHPI_Seattle-Reverting_2014-09.png\" title=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index\" rel=\"lightbox[29929]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Case-ShillerHPI_Seattle-Reverting_2014-09.png\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back tomorrow for a post on the Case-Shiller data for Seattle&#8217;s price tiers.<\/p>\n<p>(<em>Home Price Indices, <a title=\"S&amp;P\/Case-Shiller\u00ae Home Price Indices\" href=\"http:\/\/us.spindices.com\/index-family\/real-estate\/sp-case-shiller\">Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s<\/a>, 11.25.2014<\/em>)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to September data, Seattle-area home prices were: Down 0.2% August to September Up 6.0% YOY. Down 11.3% from the July 2007 peak Last year at this time prices were still rising. They increased 0.3% from August to September and year-over-year&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29933,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: Case-Shiller: Home Prices Slip Further Into Fall http:\/\/wp.me\/pe2Bv-7MJ","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[136,86,222,200,531],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-29929","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-california","tag-case-shiller","tag-graphs","tag-statistics","tag-tableau"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Case-Shiller: Home Prices Slip Further Into Fall \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/11\/25\/case-shiller-home-prices-slip-fall\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Case-Shiller: Home Prices Slip Further Into Fall \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to September data, Seattle-area home prices were: Down 0.2% August to September Up 6.0% YOY. Down 11.3% from the July 2007 peak Last year at this time prices were still rising. 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According to September data, Seattle-area home prices were: Down 0.2% August to September Up 6.0% YOY. Down 11.3% from the July 2007 peak Last year at this time prices were still rising. 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