{"id":2994,"date":"2008-10-13T11:48:04","date_gmt":"2008-10-13T18:48:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=2994"},"modified":"2010-01-22T19:10:08","modified_gmt":"2010-01-23T03:10:08","slug":"gregoire-ignored-budget-warnings-now-faces-the-consequences","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/10\/13\/gregoire-ignored-budget-warnings-now-faces-the-consequences\/","title":{"rendered":"Gregoire Ignored Budget Warnings, Now Faces the Consequences"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I usually try to avoid getting into political issues on here, but something has come up that I simply cannot ignore.  A few days ago the Seattle P-I posted videos from Christine Gregoire and Dino Rossi where each candidate makes the case on why you should vote for them.  As I was watching <a href=\"http:\/\/link.brightcove.com\/services\/link\/bcpid1543292903\/bctid1841466106\" title=\"Christine Gregoire makes stuff up.\">Christine Gregoire&#8217;s 4-minute pitch<\/a>, I was dumbfounded by the egregious claims she was making regarding the state budget.<\/p>\n<p>Since housing has been such a large part of the state economy over the last few years, I have been paying attention to these issues for some time now.  Frankly, I am appalled that Christine Gregoire would make the blatently false statements she offered in her video as reasons to vote for her, and I feel that it is relevant to bring them to light here.<\/p>\n<p><a name=\"balanced\"><\/a><strong>Claim:<\/strong> &#8220;I balanced the budget &#8230; I&#8217;ve turned it into a surplus.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Christine Gregoire claims that she single-handedly took a $2.2 billion projected deficit for the 2005-2007 biennium and turned it into a surplus.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Reality:<\/strong> The budget practically balanced itself.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Two-year state tax <strong>revenues increased $5.3 billion<\/strong> between 2005 and 2007 <span style=\"font-size: 85%;\">(source: <a title=\"Washington State Department of Revenue\" href=\"http:\/\/dor.wa.gov\/\">Washington State Department of Revenue<\/a>)<\/span>, thanks to the booming economy including huge increases in property tax and real estate excise tax collections.  Meanwhile, Gregoire has <strong>increased spending by $8 billion<\/strong> <span style=\"font-size: 85%;\">(source: <a title=\"How state spending rose $8 billion under Gregoire\" href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.nwsource.com\/html\/localnews\/2008061912_spending20m0.html\">Seattle Times<\/a>)<\/span>.  The budget was balanced <em>despite<\/em> Christine Gregoire, not <em>because<\/em> of anything she accomplished.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/10\/excise-tax-revenue.png\" rel=\"lightbox[2994]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px;\" title=\"Real Estate Tax Collections Soared - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/10\/excise-tax-revenue-tn.png\" alt=\"Real Estate Tax Collections Soared\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><br \/><a title=\"Real Estate Tax Collections Soared\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/10\/excise-tax-revenue.png\" rel=\"lightbox[2994]\">Click to enlarge<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a name=\"notmyfault\"><\/a><strong>Claim:<\/strong> &#8220;No corner of America has been able to avoid the failed economic policies of Washington, DC.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">When discussing the projected $3.2 billion deficit for the 2009-2011 budget, Christine Gregoire puts the blame on George Bush.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Reality:<\/strong> Gregoire ignored repeated warnings from the state&#8217;s top economist that the housing-fueled boom in the state economy was temporary and revenues would be returning to lower levels soon.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Here&#8217;s what Washington&#8217;s Chief Economist ChangMook Sohn was saying while Gregoire was increasing spending $8 billion in four years:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><a title=\"Sizzling economy to give state reserves hearty boost\" href=\"http:\/\/community.seattletimes.nwsource.com\/archive\/?date=20051118&amp;slug=forecast18m\">November 2005<\/a> &#8211; &#8220;There are many signs that housing is peaking.&#8221;<br \/>\n<a title=\"State's back in the money\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlepi.nwsource.com\/local\/274149_revenue16.html\">June 2006<\/a> &#8211; &#8220;We can&#8217;t assume that this hot economy can continue into the next biennium.&#8221;<br \/>\n<a title=\"Washington's revenues up again; reserves now $1.9 billion\" href=\"http:\/\/community.seattletimes.nwsource.com\/archive\/?date=20061116&amp;slug=webrevenue16\">November 2006<\/a> &#8211; &#8220;The expected cooling of Washington&#8217;s once-torrid housing and construction sector is under way.&#8221; <em>(AP paraphrase)<\/em><br \/>\n<a title=\"State economy still growing\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlepi.nwsource.com\/local\/331797_revenue15.html\">September 2007<\/a> &#8211; &#8220;Some slowdown is inevitable.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Chief Economist ChangMook Sohn issued repeated warnings to exercise caution.\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/10\/sales-with-quotes.png\" rel=\"lightbox[2994]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px;\" title=\"Chief Economist ChangMook Sohn issued repeated warnings to exercise caution. - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/10\/sales-with-quotes-tn.png\" alt=\"Chief Economist ChangMook Sohn issued repeated warnings to exercise caution.\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><br \/><a title=\"Chief Economist ChangMook Sohn issued repeated warnings to exercise caution.\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/10\/sales-with-quotes.png\" rel=\"lightbox[2994]\">Click to enlarge<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Christine Gregoire says that she &#8220;&#8216;inherited a 2.2 billion dollar deficit.&#8221;  In reality what she inherited was a booming real estate market that helped total tax revenue to increase by 22% in just three years.  However, because she ignored the advice of Chief Economist Sohn, the state must now make difficult cuts such as a hiring freeze <span style=\"font-size: 85%;\">(source: <a title=\"Gregoire orders hiring freeze, fuel and travel cuts\" href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.nwsource.com\/html\/localnews\/2008090811_webfreeze04.html\">Seattle Times<\/a>)<\/span> and an across-the-board one percent cut <span style=\"font-size: 85%;\">(source: <a title=\"Gregoire announces $240M budget savings\" href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.nwsource.com\/html\/localnews\/2008238615_budget08.html\">Seattle Times<\/a>)<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, does anyone remember <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/01\/29\/gregoire-the-economy-is-strong\/\" title=\"Gregoire: \u201cThe economy is strong. Buy your home.\u201d\">back in January<\/a>, when Gregoire said this:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I\u2019m struggling to get the message out to Washingtonians. The economy is strong. Buy your home.  There is no good reason for a slowing of home purchasing in the state of Washington today.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Since Gregoire gave the advice that everybody jump into a declining housing market, median prices have declined 7%, state unemployment has increased 33% from 4.5% to 6.0%, the stock market has fallen 20%, and the failure \/ sale of WaMu has caused our state to lose its only major national bank.  If anyone actually jumped into the housing market based on Gregoire&#8217;s advice in January, they&#8217;re probably wishing they hadn&#8217;t right now.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Gregoire's Housing Advice\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/10\/gregoire-advice.png\" rel=\"lightbox[2994]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px;\" title=\"Gregoire's Housing Advice - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/10\/gregoire-advice-tn.png\" alt=\"Gregoire's Housing Advice\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><br \/><a title=\"Gregoire's Housing Advice\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/10\/gregoire-advice.png\" rel=\"lightbox[2994]\">Click to enlarge<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I bring these things up not to tell you who to vote for, but simply to point out the nonsense malarkey that Gregoire has been spouting regarding the state budget.  The bottom line is that during the boom years she had the choice to exercise caution and restraint or to go on a spending spree.  She chose the spending spree despite the warnings of Chief Economist Sohn, and now we&#8217;re facing the consequences.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I usually try to avoid getting into political issues on here, but something has come up that I simply cannot ignore. A few days ago the Seattle P-I posted videos from Christine Gregoire and Dino Rossi where each candidate makes the case on why you should vote for them. As I was watching Christine Gregoire&#8217;s&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[206],"tags":[1115,185,399,226,171],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-2994","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-features","tag-economy","tag-gregoire","tag-politics","tag-sohn","tag-tax-revenues"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Gregoire Ignored Budget Warnings, Now Faces the Consequences \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/10\/13\/gregoire-ignored-budget-warnings-now-faces-the-consequences\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Gregoire Ignored Budget Warnings, Now Faces the Consequences \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"I usually try to avoid getting into political issues on here, but something has come up that I simply cannot ignore. 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His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. 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