{"id":30092,"date":"2015-01-06T17:01:08","date_gmt":"2015-01-07T01:01:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=30092"},"modified":"2015-01-06T17:01:08","modified_gmt":"2015-01-07T01:01:08","slug":"nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: On-Market Listings Plummeted in December"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>December market stats were published by the NWMLS today. You can find their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.northwestmls.com\/index.cfm?\/News--Information\" title=\"NWMLS Press Release\">press release in its typical location<\/a>, which we&#8217;ll get into tomorrow. For now, here are our monthly stats.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">December 2014<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>2,758<\/td>\n<td>-24.6%<\/td>\n<td>-11.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,982<\/td>\n<td>+6.0%<\/td>\n<td>+10.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.10<\/td>\n<td>+9.9%<\/td>\n<td>-10.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,669<\/td>\n<td>-21.6%<\/td>\n<td>9.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>1.39<\/td>\n<td>-28.9%<\/td>\n<td>-20.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$440,000<\/td>\n<td>0.0%<\/td>\n<td>+4.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> (<a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">Excel 2003 format<\/a>), but keep in mind the caution above.<\/p>\n<p>Those are some pretty huge year-over-year drops for listings and months of supply, especially considering that both of those numbers were increasing November of last year through August of this year.<\/p>\n<p>Closed sales have typically seen a slight decline between November and December over the last decade or so, but not this year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHClosed2014-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[30092]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHClosed2014-12.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales rose 6 percent from the previous month, and came in 10 percent above last year&#8217;s level.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[30092]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-12.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Inventory increased the velocity of its seasonal slide as the year closed, posting the biggest month-over-month decrease on record. The decline was large enough that it almost makes me wonder whether the NWMLS did some sort of unusual &#8220;house cleaning&#8221; operation to purge listings..<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2014-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[30092]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2014-12.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Both supply and demand are took a strong move in sellers&#8217; favor in December, with increasing sales and decreasing listings.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHPrices2014-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[30092]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHPrices2014-12.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>With flat prices between November and December compared to last year&#8217;s slight increase over the same period, the year-over-year change fell a bit from November to December.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2014-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[30092]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2014-12.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Home prices have still been basically flat since May.<\/p>\n<p>December 2014: $440,000<br \/>\nOctober 2006: $440,000<\/p>\n<p>I haven&#8217;t seen articles posted on the Seattle Times and P-I yet, but I&#8217;ll update this post when they&#8217;re published.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the articles from the Seattle Times and P-I:<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2025397142_homesalesxml.html\" title=\"Slowdown in 2014 home sales didn\u2019t reduce prices\">Slowdown in 2014 home sales didn\u2019t reduce prices<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle P-I: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/realestate\/article\/Supply-of-homes-for-sale-falls-even-further-5997346.php\" title=\"Supply of homes for sale falls even more\">Supply of homes for sale falls even more<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back tomorrow for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>December market stats were published by the NWMLS today. You can find their press release in its typical location, which we&#8217;ll get into tomorrow. For now, here are our monthly stats. CAUTION NWMLS monthly reports include an undisclosed and varying number ofsales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics. Here&#8217;s your King&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":30099,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: On-Market Listings Plummeted in December http:\/\/wp.me\/pe2Bv-7Pm","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-30092","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: On-Market Listings Plummeted in December \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: On-Market Listings Plummeted in December \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"December market stats were published by the NWMLS today. You can find their press release in its typical location, which we&#8217;ll get into tomorrow. For now, here are our monthly stats. CAUTION NWMLS monthly reports include an undisclosed and varying number ofsales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics. Here&#8217;s your King...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-12.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/\",\"name\":\"NWMLS: On-Market Listings Plummeted in December \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-12.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-01-07T01:01:08+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-12.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-12.png\",\"width\":907,\"height\":618},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"NWMLS: On-Market Listings Plummeted in December\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. 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For now, here are our monthly stats. CAUTION NWMLS monthly reports include an undisclosed and varying number ofsales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics. Here&#8217;s your King...","twitter_image":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-12.png","twitter_creator":"@The_Tim","twitter_site":"@SeattleBubble","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"The Tim","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/","name":"NWMLS: On-Market Listings Plummeted in December \u2022 Seattle Bubble","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-12.png","datePublished":"2015-01-07T01:01:08+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-12.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-12.png","width":907,"height":618},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/06\/nwmls-market-listings-plummeted-december\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"NWMLS: On-Market Listings Plummeted in December"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/","name":"Seattle Bubble","description":"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f","name":"The Tim","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","caption":"The Tim"},"description":"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. 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