{"id":30361,"date":"2015-03-06T11:01:19","date_gmt":"2015-03-06T19:01:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=30361"},"modified":"2015-03-09T10:15:10","modified_gmt":"2015-03-09T17:15:10","slug":"nwmls-sales-and-listings-both-inched-up-in-february","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/03\/06\/nwmls-sales-and-listings-both-inched-up-in-february\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Sales and Listings Both Inched Up in February"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>February market stats were published by the NWMLS yesterday. Before we get into our monthly stats, let&#8217;s have a look at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.northwestmls.com\/index.cfm?\/News--Information\" title=\"NWMLS Press Release\">their press release<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Early Spring Brings Bumper Crop of Homebuyers Who Face Inventory Drought<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Favorable weather and restored confidence are propelling home buying activity around Western Washington to the highest level in nearly a decade, according to Northwest Multiple Listing Service sources.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The pent-up demand being unleashed has rocketed pending sales back to the levels of our record year in 2006,&#8221; said Ken Anderson, president\/designated broker at Coldwell Banker Evergreen Olympic Realty in Tumwater. Buyers have come off the sidelines, the former MLS director commented, adding &#8220;At the same time, homes for sale are near a 10-year low.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The language in these releases is getting more and more over-the-top and reminiscent of the kind of thing we used to see 2005-2007. Describing sales as &#8220;rocketing&#8221; reminds me of the 2006 classic &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/12\/friday-flashback-the-last-spaceship-flight-off-a-planet-thats-about-to-explode\/\" title=\"Friday Flashback: &quot;The last spaceship flight off a planet that\u2019s about to explode&quot;\">last spaceship flight off a planet that&#8217;s about to explode.<\/a>&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">February 2014<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>2,721<\/td>\n<td>+1.5%<\/td>\n<td>-14.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,383<\/td>\n<td>+3.2%<\/td>\n<td>+11.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.36<\/td>\n<td>+32.4%<\/td>\n<td>-2.3%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,485<\/td>\n<td>+16.1%<\/td>\n<td>+15.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>1.97<\/td>\n<td>-1.7%<\/td>\n<td>-23.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$429,900<\/td>\n<td>-2.6%<\/td>\n<td>+6.0%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> (<a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">Excel 2003 format<\/a>), but keep in mind the caution above.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately for buyers, the same trend we&#8217;ve been seeing for the last year continued uninterrupted in February. Very few listings and plenty of buyers. Prices <\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/KingCoSFHClosed2015-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[30361]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/KingCoSFHClosed2015-02.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales rose 3 percent from January to February. Last year they fell 5 percent over the same period, so it looks like sales are getting a slightly early start this year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/KingCoSFHInventory2015-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[30361]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/KingCoSFHInventory2015-02.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Thankfully for buyers, inventory rose slightly in February from the all-time low point set in January. Unfortunately it wasn&#8217;t much of an increase. Also worth noting: The 2,721 new listings that hit the market in February was only barely more than the 2,485 listings that went off the market to pending status in the same month.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2015-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[30361]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2015-02.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Both supply and demand continued to move further in sellers&#8217; favor in February.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/KingCoSFHPrices2015-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[30361]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/KingCoSFHPrices2015-02.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Down slightly from last month, but still in a range that historically represents a very strong market.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2015-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[30361]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2015-02.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Home prices dropped to their lowest point in 11 months, but don&#8217;t expect the trend to continue as we head into the spring with so few homes and demand so high.<\/p>\n<p>January 2015: $429,900<br \/>\nMay 2006: $427,950<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s this month&#8217;s articles from the Seattle Times. I couldn&#8217;t find any article on the P-I, perhaps Aubrey Cohen is on vacation.<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/business\/real-estate\/king-county-home-prices-up-6-percent-from-a-year-ago\/\" title=\"King County home prices up 6% from a year ago\">King County home prices up 6% from a year ago<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back on Monday for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>February market stats were published by the NWMLS yesterday. Before we get into our monthly stats, let&#8217;s have a look at their press release. Early Spring Brings Bumper Crop of Homebuyers Who Face Inventory Drought Favorable weather and restored confidence are propelling home buying activity around Western Washington to the highest level in nearly a&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Sales and Listings Both Inched Up in February http:\/\/wp.me\/pe2Bv-7TH","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-30361","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Sales and Listings Both Inched Up in February \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/03\/06\/nwmls-sales-and-listings-both-inched-up-in-february\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Sales and Listings Both Inched Up in February \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"February market stats were published by the NWMLS yesterday. 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