{"id":3659,"date":"2008-12-12T10:49:32","date_gmt":"2008-12-12T18:49:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=3659"},"modified":"2010-09-09T08:15:26","modified_gmt":"2010-09-09T15:15:26","slug":"j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/","title":{"rendered":"J. Lennox Scott &amp; Dick Beeson Predictions vs. Reality"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Some quotes from J. Lennox Scott about the local real estate market.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nwmls.com\/discover\/nwreporter.cfm?SectionListsID=25&#038;PageID=4022\" title=\"http:\/\/www.nwmls.com\/discover\/nwreporter.cfm?SectionListsID=25&#038;PageID=4022\">October 2007<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>This is an ideal time for buyers because they no longer have to pay the pricing premium that existed in previous years. There is less competition for homes, yet prices continue to appreciate, creating a great opportunity for buyers to position themselves for the future.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what has happened with home prices since Mr. Scott said that they &#8220;continue to appreciate&#8221; last October:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1.png\" title=\"&quot;This is an ideal time for buyers...&quot;\" rel=\"lightbox[3659]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-600x469.png\" alt=\"&quot;This is an ideal time for buyers...&quot;\" title=\"&quot;This is an ideal time for buyers...&quot;\" width=\"600\" height=\"469\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-3660\" srcset=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-600x469.png 600w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-550x430.png 550w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1.png 645w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Another quote from Mr. Scott, in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.king5.com\/video\/upfront-index.html?nvid=191769\" title=\"Up Front: Is it a good time to buy a home?\">November 2007<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Well, we\u2019re definitely in the adjustment phase of the real estate cycle. Every time you come off a frenzy market, a surge market\u2026 you do see sales pull back. Sales activities does lower about ten to fifteen percent.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>And here&#8217;s what sales activities have done since the &#8220;frenzy market&#8221; of 2005:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-sales-prediction1.png\" title=\"&quot;Sales... lower about ten to fifteen percent.&quot;\" rel=\"lightbox[3659]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-sales-prediction1-600x488.png\" alt=\"&quot;Sales... lower about ten to fifteen percent.&quot;\" title=\"&quot;Sales... lower about ten to fifteen percent.&quot;\" width=\"600\" height=\"488\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-3661\" srcset=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-sales-prediction1-600x488.png 600w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-sales-prediction1-550x447.png 550w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-sales-prediction1.png 645w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>At the time Mr. Scott said that in late 2007, sales activities were already down 15-40% from the 2005 frenzy.  In the year since then they have fallen an additional 30%.<\/p>\n<p><a name=\"beeson\"><\/a>Some quotes from Dick Beeson, Tacoma Windermere broker and NWMLS director:<br \/>\n<a title=\"A milestone is reached as home prices drop in area\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlepi.nwsource.com\/local\/346385_housing08.html\">January 2008<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I believe the bottom has arrived in the Puget Sound marketplace and from here on, prices will stay level or advance slightly in 2008.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a title=\"Home prices remained steady in March\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlepi.nwsource.com\/business\/357773_mls05.html\">April 2008<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The local market \u201chas reached bottom \u2014 or pretty darn close\u201d and although inventory continues to grow, so does optimism among buyers, Northwest MLS director Dick Beeson said.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a title=\"Is this the bottom for housing?\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thenewstribune.com\/business\/story\/531054.html\">November 2008<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I think we\u2019re as close to bottoming out in pricing as I expected.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what home prices in Seattle and Tacoma have done since July last year:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/bottom-calling_2008-121.png\" title=\"Dick Beeson: Bottom Calling\" rel=\"lightbox[3659]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-3658\" title=\"Dick Beeson: Bottom Calling\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/bottom-calling_2008-121-600x515.png\" title=\"Dick Beeson: Bottom Calling\" alt=\"Dick Beeson: Bottom Calling\" width=\"600\" height=\"515\" srcset=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/bottom-calling_2008-121-600x515.png 600w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/bottom-calling_2008-121-550x472.png 550w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/bottom-calling_2008-121.png 769w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m not going to tell you who you should or shouldn&#8217;t trust when it comes to predictions about the local housing market, but I do think everyone should at least be equipped with all of the data when making such a decision.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Some quotes from J. Lennox Scott about the local real estate market. October 2007: This is an ideal time for buyers because they no longer have to pay the pricing premium that existed in previous years. There is less competition for homes, yet prices continue to appreciate, creating a great opportunity for buyers to position&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[206],"tags":[432,292,196,14,459],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-3659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-features","tag-beeson","tag-bottom-calling","tag-johnlscott","tag-predictions","tag-scott"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>J. Lennox Scott &amp; Dick Beeson Predictions vs. Reality \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"J. Lennox Scott &amp; Dick Beeson Predictions vs. Reality \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Some quotes from J. Lennox Scott about the local real estate market. October 2007: This is an ideal time for buyers because they no longer have to pay the pricing premium that existed in previous years. There is less competition for homes, yet prices continue to appreciate, creating a great opportunity for buyers to position...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-600x469.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/\",\"name\":\"J. Lennox Scott &amp; Dick Beeson Predictions vs. Reality \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-600x469.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2008-12-12T18:49:32+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2010-09-09T15:15:26+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-600x469.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-600x469.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"J. Lennox Scott &amp; Dick Beeson Predictions vs. Reality\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.\",\"sameAs\":[\"http:\/\/SeattleBubble.com\/\",\"http:\/\/facebook.com\/is.totally.pointless\",\"https:\/\/x.com\/The_Tim\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/author\/timothyellis\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"J. Lennox Scott &amp; Dick Beeson Predictions vs. Reality \u2022 Seattle Bubble","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"J. Lennox Scott &amp; Dick Beeson Predictions vs. Reality \u2022 Seattle Bubble","twitter_description":"Some quotes from J. Lennox Scott about the local real estate market. October 2007: This is an ideal time for buyers because they no longer have to pay the pricing premium that existed in previous years. There is less competition for homes, yet prices continue to appreciate, creating a great opportunity for buyers to position...","twitter_image":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-600x469.png","twitter_creator":"@The_Tim","twitter_site":"@SeattleBubble","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"The Tim","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/","name":"J. Lennox Scott &amp; Dick Beeson Predictions vs. Reality \u2022 Seattle Bubble","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-600x469.png","datePublished":"2008-12-12T18:49:32+00:00","dateModified":"2010-09-09T15:15:26+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/#primaryimage","url":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-600x469.png","contentUrl":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/jls-price-prediction1-600x469.png"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/12\/12\/j-lennox-scott-dick-beeson-predictions-vs-reality\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"J. Lennox Scott &amp; Dick Beeson Predictions vs. Reality"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/","name":"Seattle Bubble","description":"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f","name":"The Tim","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","caption":"The Tim"},"description":"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.","sameAs":["http:\/\/SeattleBubble.com\/","http:\/\/facebook.com\/is.totally.pointless","https:\/\/x.com\/The_Tim"],"url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/author\/timothyellis\/"}]}},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6wh0F-X1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3659","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3659"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3659\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3659"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3659"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3659"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=3659"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}