{"id":3990,"date":"2009-01-26T07:34:06","date_gmt":"2009-01-26T15:34:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=3990"},"modified":"2010-01-18T10:46:07","modified_gmt":"2010-01-18T18:46:07","slug":"december-neighborhoods-months-of-supply-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/01\/26\/december-neighborhoods-months-of-supply-update\/","title":{"rendered":"December Neighborhoods Months of Supply Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Time (or past time) to take a look at December&#8217;s &#8220;Months of Supply&#8221; for the 30 NWMLS areas in King County.  For an explanation of what months of supply means, please refer to <a title=\"2007 Neighborhood Months of Supply Breakdown\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/02\/16\/2007-neighborhood-months-of-supply-breakdown\/\">the original neighborhood MOS breakdown post<\/a>. Also, view <a title=\"NWMLS King County Breakouts Feb.2002 - Present\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/nwmls-kc-breakouts\/\">a map of these areas here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>December MOS for King County as a whole came in at yet another record-high 9.56 (compared to 7.54 for December 2007 and 8.75 for November), bringing the record run of 6+ MOS to sixteen months.<\/p>\n<p>In the graphs below, you&#8217;re looking at the MOS for the &#8220;Res Only&#8221; data from the <a title=\"NWMLS King County Breakouts Feb.2002 - Present\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/nwmls-kc-breakouts\/\">NWMLS King County Breakout pdfs<\/a> for the one-year period of January 2008 through December 2008.  The bar graph is centered vertically on 6.0 MOS, so that it is easier to visually tell the difference between a seller&#8217;s and buyer&#8217;s market (i.e. &#8211; shorter bars mean a more balanced market).  I had been trying to keep the graphs on the same vertical scale, but with MOS skyrocketing in a handful of areas in the Eastside and Vashon, I gave up on that.  The charts still all have the King County aggregate figure plotted in red on the far right.<\/p>\n<p>Note that there are a few areas that appear to have no bar at all for a given month\u2014this represents an MOS value at or close to 6.0.  Also keep in mind that whatever the reason, <a title=\"One in Five Pending Sales Failed to Close in Q3\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/11\/12\/one-in-five-pending-sales-failed-to-close-in-q3\/\">pending sales have become increasingly disconnected from closed sales recently<\/a>, which means that these statistics are likely <em>understating<\/em> the magnitude of the &#8220;buyer&#8217;s market.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ll start off with the chart that lets you directly compare each area&#8217;s MOS to its value one year ago.  December 2007 is in red, and 2008 is in blue.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: December '07 &amp; December '08\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-king.png\" rel=\"lightbox[3990]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: December '07 &amp; December '08 - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-king-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: Eastside\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Following below are the breakouts for SW King, SE King, Seattle, N King, and the Eastside, as well as a summary of this month&#8217;s data.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->Note: Area 100 (Jovita\/West Hill Auburn) was over 21 in January, and has been clipped.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: SW King\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-swking.png\" rel=\"lightbox[3990]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: SW King - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-swking-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: SW King\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: SE King\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-seking.png\" rel=\"lightbox[3990]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: SE King - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-seking-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: SE King\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Note: For Area 701 (Downtown Seattle) we&#8217;re using condo data.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: Seattle\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-seattle.png\" rel=\"lightbox[3990]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: Seattle - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-seattle-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: Seattle\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: N King\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-nking.png\" rel=\"lightbox[3990]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: N King - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-nking-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: N King\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: Eastside\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-eastside.png\" rel=\"lightbox[3990]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: Eastside - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/2008-12_mos-eastside-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: Eastside\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In December only <i>one<\/i> area in King County registered as a &#8220;seller&#8217;s market&#8221; with under 6.0 MOS&mdash;705 (Ballard, Greenlake, Greenwood).  Even 710 (NE Seattle: Wedgewood, Lake City, etc.) finally edged over 6, coming in at 6.22.<\/p>\n<p>The cumulative MOS for Seattle proper continued to push further into buyer&#8217;s market territory, coming in at 7.59 in December.  The Eastside as a whole shot back up again month-to-month to a new record high of 13.04.<\/p>\n<p>Six of thirty neighborhoods trended more toward a seller&#8217;s market than a year ago.  Twelve neighborhoods were above 10 MOS, firmly in buyer&#8217;s market territory (one more than last month).<\/p>\n<p>The three toughest markets for sellers were Medina \/ Clyde Hill \/ W. Bellevue (520) at 29.22 (over <b>two years<\/b>), Mercer Island (510) at 25.80, and Vashon Island at 19.67.  520 continues its 10+ MOS streak, now at 16 months.  Psst&#8230;  Hey Bill&#8230; bet you can drive some pretty hard bargains right about now if you&#8217;re looking to expand <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bill_Gates%27s_house\" title=\"Bill Gates's House\">your estate<\/a>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>The three best markets for sellers as of last month were: Ballard\/Greenlake\/Greenwood (705) at 5.44, North Seattle (710) at 6.22, and Jovita\/West Hill Auburn (100) at 6.84.  The &#8220;best markets for sellers&#8221; list  is starting to seem like a &#8220;most slender hippopotamus&#8221; contest or something&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Time (or past time) to take a look at December&#8217;s &#8220;Months of Supply&#8221; for the 30 NWMLS areas in King County. For an explanation of what months of supply means, please refer to the original neighborhood MOS breakdown post. Also, view a map of these areas here. December MOS for King County as a whole&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,217],"tags":[222,135,1120,6,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-3990","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-neighborhoods","tag-graphs","tag-months-of-supply","tag-neighborhoods","tag-nwmls","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>December Neighborhoods Months of Supply Update \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/01\/26\/december-neighborhoods-months-of-supply-update\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"December Neighborhoods Months of Supply Update \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Time (or past time) to take a look at December&#8217;s &#8220;Months of Supply&#8221; for the 30 NWMLS areas in King County. 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