{"id":4160,"date":"2009-02-04T16:56:36","date_gmt":"2009-02-05T00:56:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=4160"},"modified":"2010-01-18T19:50:42","modified_gmt":"2010-01-19T03:50:42","slug":"declines-in-home-prices-consumer-spending-are-good-things","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/02\/04\/declines-in-home-prices-consumer-spending-are-good-things\/","title":{"rendered":"Declines in Home Prices &amp; Consumer Spending are GOOD THINGS"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I read a great post today over at Behavior Gap <em>(thanks to an email from J.D. @ <a href=\"http:\/\/getrichslowly.org\/blog\/\" title=\"Get Rich Slowly\">Get Rich Slowly<\/a>)<\/em> that is definitely worth sharing:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.behaviorgap.com\/the-great-reset\/\" title=\"Behavior Gap: The Great Reset\" style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: 1.2em;\">The Great Reset<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.behaviorgap.com\/the-great-reset\/\" title=\"Behavior Gap: The Great Reset\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/the-great-reset.jpg\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px;\" title=\"Behavior Gap: The Great Reset\" alt=\"Behavior Gap: The Great Reset\" width=\"600\" height=\"392\"><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>A recent <a title=\"NYTimes.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/02\/03\/business\/economy\/03econ.html\" target=\"_self\"><em>New York Times<\/em><\/a> headline read:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cConsumers Increase Savings While Spending Less\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>That sounds like a GOOD thing doesn\u2019t it?<\/p>\n<p>It used to be that savings and thrift were basic, core, American values. Check out Tom Brokaw\u2019s the <a title=\"Wikipedia\" href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Greatest_Generation\" target=\"_self\"><em>Greatest Generation<\/em><\/a> if you can\u2019t remember a time when Americans valued thrift and savings. The media is so focused on \u201creviving\u201d the economy that it is now seen as a negative sign when saving increases and spending declines. I know the economy as we have known it over the last 10-20 years depended on consumer spending, but the problem was THAT WAS MONEY WE DID NOT HAVE!<\/p>\n<p>Part of the problem is that we are still viewing this as a recession. Hopefully this is not a recession. Hopefully this is the <strong>GREAT RESET<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The word recession implies that it is a temporary decline and that things will return to \u201cnormal.\u201d If we define normal as the last 10-20 years, \u201creviving\u201d that version of the  economy would be the definition of insanity (doing the same thing and expecting a different result). That version of of the economy was not REAL. That version was on the wicked, performance-enhancing drug LEVERAGE. That version was not sustainable.<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\nNow in real life this GREAT RESET is a very painful process, but to ignore the reality won\u2019t help. We can\u2019t go back to the levered up version because it is not REAL. As Thomas Friedman said recently, \u201c\u2026there is no easy escape here, except taking our medicine, getting our fundamentals right again and working our way out of this, brick by brick\u2026\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Carl hits the nail on the head.<\/p>\n<p>Over the last few decades, we have constructed a sham economy that was <strong>not sustainable<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>When the pyramid scheme failed (as all such schemes are destined to do eventually), rather than the healthy response of &#8220;whoops that was stupid, now let&#8217;s rebuild a sustainable, sound economy,&#8221; we&#8217;re hearing nonsense like &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/blog.seattlepi.nwsource.com\/realestate\/archives\/160925.asp\" title=\"Got Job?\">we need to prop up housing prices<\/a>&#8221; and &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/online.wsj.com\/article\/SB123358108427239133.html?mod=testMod\" title=\"Consumers Keep Recovery at Bay\">we need to spur more consumer spending<\/a>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s put a stop to the delusion that things can just magically go back to the way they were when everybody (individuals and corporations alike) was hopped up on leverage.  It&#8217;s not going to happen, nor should it.<\/p>\n<p>Falling home prices and consumer spending are the necessary medicine that must be taken to return to a fundamentally sound and sustainable economy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I read a great post today over at Behavior Gap (thanks to an email from J.D. @ Get Rich Slowly) that is definitely worth sharing: The Great Reset A recent New York Times headline read: \u201cConsumers Increase Savings While Spending Less\u201d That sounds like a GOOD thing doesn\u2019t it? It used to be that savings&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[25],"tags":[403,1115,108],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-4160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","tag-depression","tag-economy","tag-recession"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Declines in Home Prices &amp; Consumer Spending are GOOD THINGS \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/02\/04\/declines-in-home-prices-consumer-spending-are-good-things\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Declines in Home Prices &amp; Consumer Spending are GOOD THINGS \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"I read a great post today over at Behavior Gap (thanks to an email from J.D. @ Get Rich Slowly) that is definitely worth sharing: The Great Reset A recent New York Times headline read: \u201cConsumers Increase Savings While Spending Less\u201d That sounds like a GOOD thing doesn\u2019t it? 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