{"id":4579,"date":"2009-02-26T06:00:05","date_gmt":"2009-02-26T14:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=4579"},"modified":"2010-01-18T10:46:07","modified_gmt":"2010-01-18T18:46:07","slug":"january-neighborhoods-months-of-supply-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/02\/26\/january-neighborhoods-months-of-supply-update\/","title":{"rendered":"January Neighborhoods Months of Supply Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This is coming later than usual this month due to Bottom-Calling Week, but let&#8217;s take a look at January&#8217;s &#8220;Months of Supply&#8221; for the 30 NWMLS areas in King County.  For an explanation of what months of supply means, please refer to <a title=\"2007 Neighborhood Months of Supply Breakdown\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/02\/16\/2007-neighborhood-months-of-supply-breakdown\/\">the original neighborhood MOS breakdown post<\/a>. Also, view <a title=\"NWMLS King County Breakouts Feb.2002 - Present\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/nwmls-kc-breakouts\/\">a map of these areas here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>January MOS for King County as a whole backed down from December&#8217;s record high, coming in at 7.77 (compared to 7.54 for January 2008), bringing the record run of 6+ MOS to seventeen months.<\/p>\n<p>In the graphs below, you&#8217;re looking at the MOS for the &#8220;Res Only&#8221; data from the <a title=\"NWMLS King County Breakouts Feb.2002 - Present\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/nwmls-kc-breakouts\/\">NWMLS King County Breakout pdfs<\/a> for the one-year period of February 2008 through January 2009.  The bar graph is centered vertically on 6.0 MOS, so that it is easier to visually tell the difference between a seller&#8217;s and buyer&#8217;s market (i.e. &#8211; shorter bars mean a more balanced market).  I had been trying to keep the graphs on the same vertical scale, but with MOS skyrocketing in a handful of areas in the Eastside and Vashon, I gave up on that.  The charts still all have the King County aggregate figure plotted in red on the far right.<\/p>\n<p>Note that there are a few areas that appear to have no bar at all for a given month\u2014this represents an MOS value at or close to 6.0.  It is also important to remember that whatever the reason, <a title=\"One in Four Pending Sales Failed to Close in Q4\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/02\/10\/one-in-four-pending-sales-failed-to-close-in-q4\/\">over twenty-five percent of pending sales are not making it to closing<\/a>, which means that these statistics are likely <em>understating<\/em> the magnitude of the &#8220;buyer&#8217;s market.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ll start off with the chart that lets you directly compare each area&#8217;s MOS to its value one year ago.  January 2008 is in red, and 2009 is in blue.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: January '08 &amp; January '09\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-king.png\" rel=\"lightbox[4579]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: January '08 &amp; January '09 - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-king-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: January '08 &amp; January '09\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Following below are the breakouts for SW King, SE King, Seattle, N King, and the Eastside, as well as a summary of this month&#8217;s data.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: SW King\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-swking.png\" rel=\"lightbox[4579]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: SW King - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-swking-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: SW King\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: SE King\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-seking.png\" rel=\"lightbox[4579]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: SE King - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-seking-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: SE King\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Note: For Area 701 (Downtown Seattle) we&#8217;re using condo data.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: Seattle\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-seattle.png\" rel=\"lightbox[4579]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: Seattle - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-seattle-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: Seattle\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: N King\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-nking.png\" rel=\"lightbox[4579]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: N King - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-nking-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: N King\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"KC SFH MOS: Eastside\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-eastside.png\" rel=\"lightbox[4579]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"KC SFH MOS: Eastside - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/02\/2009-01_mos-eastside-600x435.png\" alt=\"KC SFH MOS: Eastside\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Months of supply generally declined in most areas across King County, with six neighborhoods registering as &#8220;sellers&#8217; markets&#8221; with under 6.0 MOS&mdash;Jovita\/West Hill Auburn (110), Renton Highlands \/ Kennydale (350), Beacon Hill (385), Ballard (705), North Seattle (710), and Shoreline (715).<\/p>\n<p>The cumulative MOS for Seattle proper also backed off slightly, but remained in &#8220;buyer&#8217;s market&#8221; territory at 6.51 in January.  The Eastside as a whole dropped three points down to 10.14.<\/p>\n<p>Fifteen of thirty neighborhoods trended more toward a seller&#8217;s market than a year ago.  Six neighborhoods were above 10 MOS (compared to 12 last month), firmly in buyer&#8217;s market territory.<\/p>\n<p>The three toughest markets for sellers were Mercer Island (510) at 46.0 (no that&#8217;s not a typo&mdash;there were only 3 pending sales on the entire island), Medina \/ Clyde Hill \/ W. Bellevue (520) at 14.2, and Downtown Seattle condos (701) at 12.7.  520 yet again extended its 10+ MOS streak, now at 17 months.<\/p>\n<p>The three best markets for sellers as of last month were: Ballard\/Greenlake\/Greenwood (705) at 4.5, North Seattle (710) at 4.6, and Shoreline (715) at 4.8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is coming later than usual this month due to Bottom-Calling Week, but let&#8217;s take a look at January&#8217;s &#8220;Months of Supply&#8221; for the 30 NWMLS areas in King County. For an explanation of what months of supply means, please refer to the original neighborhood MOS breakdown post. Also, view a map of these areas&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,217],"tags":[222,135,1120,6,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-4579","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-neighborhoods","tag-graphs","tag-months-of-supply","tag-neighborhoods","tag-nwmls","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>January Neighborhoods Months of Supply Update \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/02\/26\/january-neighborhoods-months-of-supply-update\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"January Neighborhoods Months of Supply Update \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"This is coming later than usual this month due to Bottom-Calling Week, but let&#8217;s take a look at January&#8217;s &#8220;Months of Supply&#8221; for the 30 NWMLS areas in King County. 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