{"id":5820,"date":"2009-06-04T13:13:18","date_gmt":"2009-06-04T20:13:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=5820"},"modified":"2009-06-06T13:01:35","modified_gmt":"2009-06-06T20:01:35","slug":"nwmls-closed-sales-picking-up-steam-still-below-2008","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/04\/nwmls-closed-sales-picking-up-steam-still-below-2008\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Closed Sales Picking Up Steam, Still Below 2008"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s take a look at May market statistics from the NWMLS.  I&#8217;ll update this post with a link to their press release when they post it.  [Update] Here it is: <a title=\"Inventory shrinking, sales rising, prices stabilizing in some Northwest MLS areas\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nwrealestate.com\/nwrpub\/common\/news.cfm\">Inventory shrinking, sales rising, prices stabilizing in some Northwest MLS areas<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with helpful arrows to show whether the direction of each indicator is positive or negative news for buyers and sellers:<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<td style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">May 2009<\/td>\n<td>Number<\/td>\n<td>MOM<\/td>\n<td>YOY<\/td>\n<td>Buyers<\/td>\n<td>Sellers<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>9,852<\/td>\n<td>+2.5%<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,312<\/td>\n<td>+30.7%<\/td>\n<td>-14.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>2.33<\/td>\n<td>-18.7%<\/td>\n<td>-7.3%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,246<\/td>\n<td>+6.2%<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>4.39<\/td>\n<td>-3.5%<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a title=\"Median Price Not Telling the Whole Truth\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2007\/08\/14\/median-price-not-telling-the-whole-truth\/\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$375,000<\/td>\n<td>-1.3%<\/td>\n<td>-14.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Note that due to <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/05\/11\/recent-spike-in-pending-sales-due-to-change-in-definition\/\" title=\"Recent Spike in &quot;Pending&quot; Sales Due to Change in Definition?\">the change in definitions<\/a>, year-over-year comparisons of pending sales, active listings, and months of supply will not be valid until July.<\/p>\n<p>Closed sales posted a relatively strong month-to-month increase, but still came in negative year-over-year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosfhclosed2009-05.png\" rel=\"lightbox[5820]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosfhclosed2009-05-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Back in January <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/01\/09\/predictions-2008-in-the-bag-2009-on-the-horizon\/\" title=\"Predictions: 2008 in the Bag, 2009 on the Horizon\">I predicted that<\/a> sales would &#8220;eventually flatten out and maybe even show YOY gains&#8221; in 2009.  Given that June has been the high point for sales in five of the last nine years (with only 3 years peaking later in the year), it looks like this month will have to be exceptionally strong for my prediction to have any chance of being correct.<\/p>\n<p>Here is the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a>, and here&#8217;s <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">a copy in Excel 2003 format<\/a>.  Click below for the graphs and the rest of the post.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosfhinventory2009-05.png\" rel=\"lightbox[5820]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosfhinventory2009-05-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Note that unfortunately, the current data is not really comparable with pre-July 2008 data.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  In place of the now-unreliable measure of pending sales, the &#8220;demand&#8221; in the following two charts is now represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosupplyvsdemandpct2009-05.png\" rel=\"lightbox[5820]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosupplyvsdemandpct2009-05-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the chart of supply and demand raw numbers:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosupplyvsdemand2009-05.png\" rel=\"lightbox[5820]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosupplyvsdemand2009-05-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>June will be the moment of truth for 2009.  Will sales flatten out, or spike up to positive YOY territory?<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosfhprices2009-05.png\" rel=\"lightbox[5820]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosfhprices2009-05-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Still hovering in the -15% YOY range.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosfhpricesyearly2009-05.png\" rel=\"lightbox[5820]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kingcosfhpricesyearly2009-05-600x437.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" width=\"600\" height=\"437\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>May 2009 King County median SFH price: $375,000.<br \/>\nJune 2005 King County median SFH price: $375,000.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll update this post with news blurbs from the Times and P-I when they become available.  As usual, check back tomorrow for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n<p>[Update]<br \/>\nSeattle P-I: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/local\/406871_housing04.html\" title=\"Pending home sales up again, but will they close?\">Pending home sales up again, but will they close?<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.nwsource.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2009301166_webhomesales.html\" title=\"King County median home prices in May continue to decline from year ago\">King County median home prices in May continue to decline from year ago<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s take a look at May market statistics from the NWMLS. I&#8217;ll update this post with a link to their press release when they post it. [Update] Here it is: Inventory shrinking, sales rising, prices stabilizing in some Northwest MLS areas Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with helpful arrows to show whether the direction&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-5820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Closed Sales Picking Up Steam, Still Below 2008 \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/04\/nwmls-closed-sales-picking-up-steam-still-below-2008\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Closed Sales Picking Up Steam, Still Below 2008 \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Let&#8217;s take a look at May market statistics from the NWMLS. 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