{"id":6068,"date":"2009-06-26T09:14:23","date_gmt":"2009-06-26T16:14:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=6068"},"modified":"2009-06-26T09:14:23","modified_gmt":"2009-06-26T16:14:23","slug":"spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Spec Builder Spectacularly Miscalculated Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>KIRO radio ran a mildly interesting piece about a spec builder in my neighborhood with especially poor timing: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mynorthwest.com\/?nid=11&#038;sid=182371\" title=\"Local spec homes sit empty, cheap\">Local spec homes sit empty, cheap<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>What started as a fun project turned into a nightmare for a builder in Kenmore.<\/p>\n<p>Ken Youch, with Kenmar Construction, is happy to give tours of any one of the million dollar houses he has built in Kenmore.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;They&#8217;re absolutely beautiful homes that we built when the market was booming. This is my very first attempt at spec building,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>It is also his last. Like many builders across the Puget Sound, Youch is losing a lot of money on these three sister homes. All were priced over one million dollars and now they&#8217;re going at about $500,000 lower.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/WA\/Kenmore\/7320-NE-150th-St-98028\/home\/8188038\" title=\"7320 NE 150th St Kenmore, WA 98028\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kenmore-spec.png\" title=\"7320 NE 150th St Kenmore, WA 98028\" alt=\"7320 NE 150th St Kenmore, WA 98028\" style=\"float: left; border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 0 5px 0 0;\" \/><\/a>The houses in question are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/WA\/Kenmore\/7320-NE-150th-St-98028\/home\/8188038\" title=\"7320 NE 150th St Kenmore, WA 98028\">7320<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/WA\/Kenmore\/7328-NE-150th-St-98028\/home\/8188039\" title=\"7328 NE 150th St Kenmore, WA 98028\">7328<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/WA\/Kenmore\/7332-NE-150th-St-98028\/home\/8188040\" title=\"7332 NE 150th St Kenmore, WA 98028\">7332<\/a> on NE 150th St in Kenmore, for which the builder is asking $674k, $679k, and $699k, respectively (as a side note, KIRO clearly has a different definition of &#8220;cheap&#8221; than I do).  Cumulative days on market for each of the three properties is in excess of 440.  He purchased the lots in April and July 2007 for <a href=\"http:\/\/www5.kingcounty.gov\/kcgisreports\/property_report.aspx?PIN=3649100181\" title=\"Assessor information for parcel number 3649100181\">$262,500<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www5.kingcounty.gov\/kcgisreports\/property_report.aspx?PIN=3649100182\" title=\"Assessor information for parcel number 3649100182\">$265,175<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www5.kingcounty.gov\/kcgisreports\/property_report.aspx?PIN=3649100183\" title=\"Assessor information for parcel number 3649100183\">$267,200<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>July 2007.  If that rings a bell to anyone, it might be because it was the peak month for Seattle-area home prices.  Granted, we only know that thanks to the benefit of hindsight, but even at the time the <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2007\/07\/05\/like-a-broken-record-listings-way-up-sales-slightly-down\/\" title=\"Like a Broken Record: Listings Way Up, Sales Slightly Down\">writing was on the wall<\/a> for anyone paying attention.<\/p>\n<p>Are we supposed to feel sorry for this builder for getting caught up in the mania and failing to do his research before jumping in head first to an expensive and risky venture like this?  That seems to be the angle of this piece, but to be honest, I&#8217;m not feeling it.<\/p>\n<p>At least he hasn&#8217;t gone into foreclosure yet, so he must have the financial strength to stand behind his risky move.  Also, he doesn&#8217;t appear to be angling for a bailout, so while I question his business sense, I respect his apparent willingness to take responsibility for his decisions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>KIRO radio ran a mildly interesting piece about a spec builder in my neighborhood with especially poor timing: Local spec homes sit empty, cheap. What started as a fun project turned into a nightmare for a builder in Kenmore. Ken Youch, with Kenmar Construction, is happy to give tours of any one of the million&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[198],"tags":[176,123,340,172,99],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-6068","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-builders","tag-construction","tag-kenmore","tag-kiro","tag-radio"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Spec Builder Spectacularly Miscalculated Market \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Spec Builder Spectacularly Miscalculated Market \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"KIRO radio ran a mildly interesting piece about a spec builder in my neighborhood with especially poor timing: Local spec homes sit empty, cheap. What started as a fun project turned into a nightmare for a builder in Kenmore. Ken Youch, with Kenmar Construction, is happy to give tours of any one of the million...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kenmore-spec.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/\",\"name\":\"Spec Builder Spectacularly Miscalculated Market \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kenmore-spec.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2009-06-26T16:14:23+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kenmore-spec.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kenmore-spec.png\",\"width\":\"200\",\"height\":\"251\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Spec Builder Spectacularly Miscalculated Market\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.\",\"sameAs\":[\"http:\/\/SeattleBubble.com\/\",\"http:\/\/facebook.com\/is.totally.pointless\",\"https:\/\/x.com\/The_Tim\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/author\/timothyellis\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Spec Builder Spectacularly Miscalculated Market \u2022 Seattle Bubble","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"Spec Builder Spectacularly Miscalculated Market \u2022 Seattle Bubble","twitter_description":"KIRO radio ran a mildly interesting piece about a spec builder in my neighborhood with especially poor timing: Local spec homes sit empty, cheap. What started as a fun project turned into a nightmare for a builder in Kenmore. Ken Youch, with Kenmar Construction, is happy to give tours of any one of the million...","twitter_image":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kenmore-spec.png","twitter_creator":"@The_Tim","twitter_site":"@SeattleBubble","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"The Tim","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/","name":"Spec Builder Spectacularly Miscalculated Market \u2022 Seattle Bubble","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kenmore-spec.png","datePublished":"2009-06-26T16:14:23+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kenmore-spec.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/06\/kenmore-spec.png","width":"200","height":"251"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/26\/spec-builder-spectacularly-miscalculated-market\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Spec Builder Spectacularly Miscalculated Market"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/","name":"Seattle Bubble","description":"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f","name":"The Tim","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","caption":"The Tim"},"description":"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.","sameAs":["http:\/\/SeattleBubble.com\/","http:\/\/facebook.com\/is.totally.pointless","https:\/\/x.com\/The_Tim"],"url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/author\/timothyellis\/"}]}},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6wh0F-1zS","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6068","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6068"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6068\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6068"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6068"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6068"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=6068"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}