{"id":6356,"date":"2009-07-13T09:41:07","date_gmt":"2009-07-13T16:41:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=6356"},"modified":"2010-07-12T21:12:34","modified_gmt":"2010-07-13T04:12:34","slug":"seattle-area-housing-oversupply-still-increasing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/07\/13\/seattle-area-housing-oversupply-still-increasing\/","title":{"rendered":"Seattle-Area Housing Oversupply Still Increasing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One set of data we like to check in on occasionally is the big picture of local housing supply and demand, measured by comparing the total number of housing units to the total number of households.  You may recall the last time we checked in on this data back in March: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/03\/19\/local-housing-oversupply-could-disappear-by-july-2010\/\" title=\"Local Housing Oversupply Could Disappear by July 2010...\">Local Housing Oversupply Could Disappear by July 2010&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Good news everyone!<\/p>\n<p>The latest population estimates for King County have been <a href=\"http:\/\/www.census.gov\/popest\/estimates.html\" title=\"US Census Bureau Population Estimates\">released by the Census Bureau<\/a>, and at the present rate of population growth, we\u2019ll be able to use up all of our <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/11\/05\/housing-shortage-or-overbuilt%E2%80%94a-new-look-at-supply-and-demand\/\" title=\"Housing Shortage or Overbuilt\u2014A New Look at Supply and Demand\">excess housing inventory<\/a> by July of next year&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<strong>if<\/strong> all residential construction across the county completely ceased after July 2008, that is.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Our previous excursions into this data have been based on Census Bureau estimates, which are unfortunately not very timely.  However, the Washington State Office of Financial Management keeps its own sets of estimates which are much more current.  In fact, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ofm.wa.gov\/pop\/april1\/default.asp\" title=\"OFM: Official April 1, 2009 Population Estimates\">their latest release a few weeks ago<\/a> provides data through April of this year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an updated chart of housing supply (total housing units) and demand (total households) for the 3-county Puget Sound region, indexed to 2000:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/Supply-Demand-OFM-King-Sno-Pierce_2009.png\" title=\"Puget Sound Housing Supply &#038; Demand\" rel=\"lightbox[6356]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/Supply-Demand-OFM-King-Sno-Pierce_2009-600x435.png\" title=\"Puget Sound County Housing Supply &#038; Demand - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Puget Sound County Housing Supply &#038; Demand\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Across King, Snohomish, and Pierce counties, a total of 147,591 new households have been added since 2000.  During the same time, 184,378 new housing units have been built, amounting to an oversupply of 36,787 housing units.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a look at the raw number of housing units and households that were added to the region each year:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/Supply-Demand-OFM-Yearly-King-Sno-Pierce_2009.png\" title=\"Puget Sound Housing Supply &#038; Demand\" rel=\"lightbox[6356]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/Supply-Demand-OFM-Yearly-King-Sno-Pierce_2009-600x435.png\" title=\"Puget Sound County Housing Supply &#038; Demand - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Puget Sound County Housing Supply &#038; Demand\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Only 2004 and 2005 had people moving here faster than new housing stock was coming online, and 2006 more than made up for the discrepancy in short order.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the indexed chart for King County only:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/Supply-Demand-OFM-King_2009.png\" title=\"King Housing Supply &#038; Demand\" rel=\"lightbox[6356]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/Supply-Demand-OFM-King_2009-600x435.png\" title=\"King County Housing Supply &#038; Demand - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Housing Supply &#038; Demand\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In King County, we&#8217;ve added 65,443 households and 90,157 housing units over the past nine years, for a total oversupply of 24,714 housing units.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the year-by-year chart for King County:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/Supply-Demand-OFM-Yearly-King_2009.png\" title=\"King Housing Supply &#038; Demand\" rel=\"lightbox[6356]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/Supply-Demand-OFM-Yearly-King_2009-600x435.png\" title=\"King County Housing Supply &#038; Demand - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Housing Supply &#038; Demand\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here in King, only 2005 saw a larger addition of households than housing units.  Even between 2008 and 2009, 3,304 more housing units were added than new households.<\/p>\n<p>So it would seem that rather than working through our local housing oversupply, we&#8217;re still <em>adding to<\/em> it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One set of data we like to check in on occasionally is the big picture of local housing supply and demand, measured by comparing the total number of housing units to the total number of households. You may recall the last time we checked in on this data back in March: Local Housing Oversupply Could&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[206,8],"tags":[123,48,429,559,690,52],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-6356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-features","category-stats","tag-construction","tag-demand","tag-occupancy","tag-ofm","tag-oversupply","tag-supply"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Seattle-Area Housing Oversupply Still Increasing \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/07\/13\/seattle-area-housing-oversupply-still-increasing\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Seattle-Area Housing Oversupply Still Increasing \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"One set of data we like to check in on occasionally is the big picture of local housing supply and demand, measured by comparing the total number of housing units to the total number of households. 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