{"id":6779,"date":"2009-08-11T07:24:27","date_gmt":"2009-08-11T14:24:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=6779"},"modified":"2009-08-11T07:24:27","modified_gmt":"2009-08-11T14:24:27","slug":"another-look-at-recent-pending-and-closed-sales","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/08\/11\/another-look-at-recent-pending-and-closed-sales\/","title":{"rendered":"Another Look at Recent Pending and Closed Sales"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a belated look at the quarterly total sales chart, updated to include Q2:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Total SFH Closed Sales per Quarter\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/08\/sales-per-quarter_2009_Q2.png\" rel=\"lightbox[6779]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County Total SFH Closed Sales per Quarter\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/08\/sales-per-quarter_2009_Q2-600x435.png\" alt=\"King County Total SFH Closed Sales per Quarter\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Still came in lower than any previous quarter&mdash;about 15% lower than last year.  So far this quarter is off to a stronger start, with July sales coming in 11% <em>higher<\/em> than last year.  It will be interesting to see if that holds for August and September.<\/p>\n<p>Next, here&#8217;s another look at the monthly pending and closed sales chart, only this time I have split the pending sales onto separate vertical and horizontal axis to demonstrate the apparent two-month lag that has shown up in the data this year:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Pending and Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/08\/Pend-Closedb_2009-07.png\" rel=\"lightbox[6779]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County Pending and Closed Sales\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/08\/Pend-Closedb_2009-07-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Pending and Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>It used to be (from 2000-2007) that a given month&#8217;s closed sales were (on average) about 95% of the previous month&#8217;s pending sales.  So far this year the relationship has been closer to a given month&#8217;s closed sales coming in at 78% of the total pending sales from two months prior.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s one more chart, with pending sales, closed sales, and a plot of pending sales * 78%, shifted two months into the future:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Pending and Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/08\/Pend-Closed-forecast_2009-07.png\" rel=\"lightbox[6779]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County Pending and Closed Sales\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/08\/Pend-Closed-forecast_2009-07-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Pending and Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>If this relationship holds for August, it looks like we&#8217;ll see about 1,900 closed sales.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a belated look at the quarterly total sales chart, updated to include Q2: Still came in lower than any previous quarter&mdash;about 15% lower than last year. So far this quarter is off to a stronger start, with July sales coming in 11% higher than last year. It will be interesting to see if that&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8],"tags":[387,6,386,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-6779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","tag-closed","tag-nwmls","tag-pending","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Another Look at Recent Pending and Closed Sales \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/08\/11\/another-look-at-recent-pending-and-closed-sales\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Another Look at Recent Pending and Closed Sales \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Here&#8217;s a belated look at the quarterly total sales chart, updated to include Q2: Still came in lower than any previous quarter&mdash;about 15% lower than last year. 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