{"id":6878,"date":"2009-08-19T06:15:37","date_gmt":"2009-08-19T13:15:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=6878"},"modified":"2009-08-19T06:14:42","modified_gmt":"2009-08-19T13:14:42","slug":"npr-searching-for-the-new-normal-in-the-nw-housing-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/08\/19\/npr-searching-for-the-new-normal-in-the-nw-housing-market\/","title":{"rendered":"NPR: Searching for the &quot;New Normal&quot; in the NW Housing Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I did a phone interview a few weeks ago with Austin Jenkins, an NPR correspondent down in Olympia, about where the local housing market and economy are heading.  Here is the resulting story: <a href=\"http:\/\/news.opb.org\/article\/5644-new-normal-what-will-nw-housing-market-look\/\" title=\"The New Normal: What Will The NW Housing Market Look Like?\">The New Normal: What Will The NW Housing Market Look Like?<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The Northwest economy is on the verge of recovery and with it &mdash; transformation.<\/p>\n<p>Economists expect the recession to end in the next year, but not without some long-term changes.<\/p>\n<p>This week we&#8217;re looking at lasting alterations to the region&#8217;s economic landscape. Nowhere is that more apparent than in the real estate market.<\/p>\n<p>That used to be the one investment middle income families in the Northwest could rely on. So what does the future hold for real estate?<\/p>\n<p>Olympia Correspondent Austin Jenkins looks for answers in the first part of our series \u201cThe New Normal.&#8221;<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\nWill we ever see home prices inflate at a double-digit pace year-over-year?<\/p>\n<p>Real estate blogger Tim Ellis, for one, hopes the answer is no.<\/p>\n<p>Tim Ellis: \u201cTo me it&#8217;s sad that so much of our local economy was based on people selling other people houses for twenty percent more than they sold last year.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ellis is the man behind the popular blog SeattleBubble.com . He hopes this recession serves as a course correction for the Northwest economy. He yearns for back-to-basics economic engines like Boeing airplanes and Microsoft software.<\/p>\n<p>Tim Ellis: \u201cAs opposed to people whipping themselves into a frenzy over how they&#8217;re going to get rich on their house.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ellis need not worry about a return of the frenzy says Tom Potiowsky, economist for the state of Oregon.<\/p>\n<p>Tom Potiowsky: \u201cIt just naturally is going to be a much slower growing market.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/gp\/product\/1400068983?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=prioutfor-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=9325&#038;creativeASIN=1400068983\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/08\/Reset-cover.png\" title=\"Reset: How This Crisis Can Restore Our Values and Renew America\" alt=\"Reset: How This Crisis Can Restore Our Values and Renew America\" style=\"border:0; float: right; margin: 5px 0 5px 5px;\" \/><\/a>I like the forward-looking angle he took in this piece, but I don&#8217;t necessarily agree with Austin&#8217;s conclusion that &#8220;buying a home will still be a good investment.&#8221;  Buy a home because you want a place to live to call your own, not as some sort of vehicle to build wealth.  The only way a house is an <em>investment<\/em> is when you purchase a cash-flow-positive rental.  But I digress.<\/p>\n<p>I think Austin definitely touched on some interesting topics in his piece.  In the time since I spoke with Austin, I picked up a little book called <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/gp\/product\/1400068983?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=prioutfor-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=9325&#038;creativeASIN=1400068983\">Reset: How This Crisis Can Restore Our Values and Renew America<\/a>, which touches on some of the same topics, and as an added bonus turns the stars and stripes into a bar chart on the cover.<\/p>\n<p>Despite it being only 70-some pages long, I haven&#8217;t made the time to sit down and finish reading Reset yet, but so far I&#8217;m appreciating the outlook presented within.  It feels similar to the topic we touched on back in February when <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/02\/04\/declines-in-home-prices-consumer-spending-are-good-things\/\" title=\"Declines in Home Prices &#038; Consumer Spending are GOOD THINGS\">we discussed the &#8220;great reset.&#8221;<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Looking toward the future with an optimistic perspective on how we can make our way back to a productive society that is not addicted to debt is a subject I hope to visit more frequently in the coming months.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I did a phone interview a few weeks ago with Austin Jenkins, an NPR correspondent down in Olympia, about where the local housing market and economy are heading. Here is the resulting story: The New Normal: What Will The NW Housing Market Look Like? The Northwest economy is on the verge of recovery and with&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[198],"tags":[1115,296,571,99,108,553],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-6878","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-economy","tag-npr","tag-optimism","tag-radio","tag-recession","tag-recovery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NPR: Searching for the &quot;New Normal&quot; in the NW Housing Market \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/08\/19\/npr-searching-for-the-new-normal-in-the-nw-housing-market\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NPR: Searching for the &quot;New Normal&quot; in the NW Housing Market \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"I did a phone interview a few weeks ago with Austin Jenkins, an NPR correspondent down in Olympia, about where the local housing market and economy are heading. 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