{"id":751,"date":"2007-04-05T15:18:00","date_gmt":"2007-04-05T22:18:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=751"},"modified":"2007-04-05T15:18:00","modified_gmt":"2007-04-05T22:18:00","slug":"sound-familiar-sales-down-listings-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2007\/04\/05\/sound-familiar-sales-down-listings-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Sound Familiar? Sales Down, Listings Up."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>March numbers from the NWMLS are available, and I managed to get a bit of a break before I head back from Chicago, so here comes the data.<\/p>\n<p>March King County SFH summary:<\/p>\n<p><u>March 2007<\/u><br \/>Active Listings: up 33% YOY<br \/>Pending Sales: down 11% YOY<br \/>Median Closed Price: $454,950, up 12% YOY<\/p>\n<p>After an unusual YOY increase in February, sales resumed their previous course of down, down, down.  This was the second year in a row that March sales were down 11% YOY.<\/p>\n<p>If anyone tries to claim that this year is shaping up &#8220;just like any other year,&#8221; or that the sales data points any less toward a softening than it has in recent months, they are either in denial or mentally handicapped.  Month-to-month inventory jumped 10.42% from February to March, a larger spike between those months than any other year since 2000 (pre-2000 data is not available).  February to March sales were up just 14.11%, making this the <i>smallest<\/i> increase between those months than any year since 2000.<\/p>\n<p>While months of supply is still relatively low, it has increased 49% since March last year, and days on market has increased 33%.  Still-increasing median prices are pretty much the only thing that housing bulls have to be happy about.<\/p>\n<p>As is the custom, I have uploaded an updated copy of the <a href=\"http:\/\/timothyellis.googlepages.com\/Seattle_Bubble.xls\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> that contains the relevant data.  The recap NWMLS pdfs are not available yet, but <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nwmls.com\/discover\/library\/statistics\/countyprint\/printking.pdf\" title=\"NWMLS March 2007 King County\">here is the detailed King County data<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph:<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/bp0.blogger.com\/_FEzZUX-8Hkg\/RhV2hWEYBoI\/AAAAAAAAAIY\/4yxD4v8WZ6E\/s1600-h\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2007.03.png\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" rel=\"lightbox[751]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/bp0.blogger.com\/_FEzZUX-8Hkg\/RhV2hWEYBoI\/AAAAAAAAAIY\/4yxD4v8WZ6E\/s400\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2007.03.png\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" width=\"400\" height=\"263\"><\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/bp0.blogger.com\/_FEzZUX-8Hkg\/RhV2hWEYBoI\/AAAAAAAAAIY\/4yxD4v8WZ6E\/s1600-h\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2007.03.png\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" rel=\"lightbox[751]\">Click to enlarge<\/a><\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the chart of supply and demand raw numbers:<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/bp0.blogger.com\/_FEzZUX-8Hkg\/RhV2JWEYBnI\/AAAAAAAAAIQ\/Dkx9EeBILBs\/s1600-h\/KingCoSupplyVsDemand2007.03.png\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand - Click to enlarge\" rel=\"lightbox[751]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/bp0.blogger.com\/_FEzZUX-8Hkg\/RhV2JWEYBnI\/AAAAAAAAAIQ\/Dkx9EeBILBs\/s400\/KingCoSupplyVsDemand2007.03.png\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand\" width=\"400\" height=\"263\"><\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/bp0.blogger.com\/_FEzZUX-8Hkg\/RhV2JWEYBnI\/AAAAAAAAAIQ\/Dkx9EeBILBs\/s1600-h\/KingCoSupplyVsDemand2007.03.png\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand - Click to enlarge\" rel=\"lightbox[751]\">Click to enlarge<\/a><\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of YOY percent change in the median sale prices of single-family homes in King County since 1994:<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/bp1.blogger.com\/_FEzZUX-8Hkg\/RhV12mEYBmI\/AAAAAAAAAII\/b2OMr46BPJI\/s1600-h\/KingCoSFHPrices2007.03.png\" title=\"King County Median Home Price, YOY Change - Click to enlarge\" rel=\"lightbox[751]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/bp1.blogger.com\/_FEzZUX-8Hkg\/RhV12mEYBmI\/AAAAAAAAAII\/b2OMr46BPJI\/s400\/KingCoSFHPrices2007.03.png\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px;\" title=\"King County Median Home Price, YOY Change - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Median Home Price, YOY Change\" width=\"400\" height=\"263\"><\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/bp1.blogger.com\/_FEzZUX-8Hkg\/RhV12mEYBmI\/AAAAAAAAAII\/b2OMr46BPJI\/s1600-h\/KingCoSFHPrices2007.03.png\" title=\"King County Median Home Price, YOY Change - Click to enlarge\" rel=\"lightbox[751]\">Click to enlarge<\/a><\/div>\n<p>You&#8217;ve got a little bit of a recovery last month, with &#8220;appreciation&#8221; increasing 3 points to 12%.  We&#8217;ll see what happens the rest of the spring.<\/p>\n<div class=\"blogger-post-footer\">\n<div style=\"margin: 0 auto; padding: 2px; font-size: 12px; width: 150px; text-align: center; border: 1px dashed #4386ce; background-color: #D5E2F1;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/xclick\/business=paypal%40timandjeni.com&#038;no_note=1&#038;tax=0&#038;currency_code=USD&#038;lc=US&#038;item_name=Seattle%20Bubble%20Donation\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Tip Jar\">Seattle Bubble Tip Jar<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>March numbers from the NWMLS are available, and I managed to get a bit of a break before I head back from Chicago, so here comes the data. March King County SFH summary: March 2007Active Listings: up 33% YOYPending Sales: down 11% YOYMedian Closed Price: $454,950, up 12% YOY After an unusual YOY increase in&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[],"tags":[6,1114],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-751","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","tag-nwmls","tag-stats"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Sound Familiar? 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March King County SFH summary: March 2007Active Listings: up 33% YOYPending Sales: down 11% YOYMedian Closed Price: $454,950, up 12% YOY After an unusual YOY increase in...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"http:\/\/bp0.blogger.com\/_FEzZUX-8Hkg\/RhV2hWEYBoI\/AAAAAAAAAIY\/4yxD4v8WZ6E\/s400\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2007.03.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2007\/04\/05\/sound-familiar-sales-down-listings-up\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2007\/04\/05\/sound-familiar-sales-down-listings-up\/\",\"name\":\"Sound Familiar? 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