{"id":7960,"date":"2009-11-12T06:00:29","date_gmt":"2009-11-12T14:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=7960"},"modified":"2010-10-28T23:39:14","modified_gmt":"2010-10-29T06:39:14","slug":"foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/12\/foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810\/","title":{"rendered":"Foreclosures Still Stalled by SB 5810?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s have a more detailed look at foreclosure activity for October in King, Snohomish, and Pierce counties.  First up, the Notice of Trustee Sale summary:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">October 2009<\/span><br \/>\nKing: 666 NTS, up 4% YOY<br \/>\nSnohomish: 323 NTS, <em>down<\/em> 2% YOY<br \/>\nPierce: 385 NTS, <em>down<\/em> 36% YOY<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Foreclosure notices dipped a bit in all three counties last month.  Unfortunately the foreclosure rate seems to historically be an extremely noisy measure, alternating up and down month-to-month nearly every month, so we can&#8217;t really read much into this particular one-month dip.  And, thanks to SB 5810 (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/08\/13\/legislation-induced-foreclosure-spike-begins-to-wane\/\" title=\"Legislation-Induced Foreclosure Spike Begins to Wane\">more on that here<\/a>), the year-over-year numbers aren&#8217;t particularly useful right now, either..<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a simple look at how October&#8217;s foreclosures compare to the same month last year in each of the three counties:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Notices of Trustee Sale\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-YOY_2009-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[7960]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px;\" title=\"Notices of Trustee Sale - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-YOY_2009-10-600x435.png\" alt=\"Notices of Trustee Sale\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Next let&#8217;s look at the percentage of households that received a Notice of Trustee Sale (based on household data for each county from the <a href=\"http:\/\/factfinder.census.gov\/servlet\/ACSSAFFFacts?_submenuId=factsheet_0&#038;_sse=on\" title=\"American Community Survey\">American Community Survey<\/a>, assuming linear household growth between surveys):<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Households per Foreclosure\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-Households-pct_2009-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[7960]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px;\" title=\"Households per Foreclosure - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-Households-pct_2009-10-600x435.png\" alt=\"Households per Foreclosure\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>King County came in at 1 NTS per 1,185 households, Snohomish County had 1 NTS per 816 households, and Pierce had 1 NTS for every 774 households (higher is better).<\/p>\n<p>According to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realtytrac.com\/contentmanagement\/\" title=\"RealtyTrac news releases\">foreclosure tracking company RealtyTrac<\/a>, Washington&#8217;s statewide foreclosure rate of one foreclosure for every 822 households was 29rd worst among the 50 states and the District of Columbia (down from 23rd last month, possibly still due to SB 5810).  Note that RealtyTrac&#8217;s definition of &#8220;in foreclosure&#8221; is much broader than what we are using, and includes Notice of Default, Lis Pendens, Notice of Trustee Sale, and Real Estate Owned.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a look at King County&#8217;s Notices of Trustee Sales along with Trustee Deeds (which represent one way that a bank can actually complete the foreclosure process and repossess a house).<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-Deeds-King_2009-10.png\" title=\"King Co. NTS and Trustee Deeds\" rel=\"lightbox[7960]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-Deeds-King_2009-10-600x435.png\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px;\" title=\"King Co. NTS and Trustee Deeds - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King Co. NTS and Trustee Deeds\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>496 Trustee Deeds in King County set a new record, and was higher than the volume of Notices of Trustee Sales seen anytime prior to Q2 2008.<\/p>\n<p>In case you&#8217;re curious, here&#8217;s one reason that I believe the current downtick in foreclosures is the result of the state legislation rather than an underlying fundamental trend of easing pressure on mortgage holders:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-Unemployment-King_2009-10.png\" title=\"King County Foreclosures &#038; Unemployment\" rel=\"lightbox[7960]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-Unemployment-King_2009-10-600x436.png\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px;\" title=\"King County Foreclosures &#038; Unemployment - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Foreclosures &#038; Unemployment\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Since 2000, the unemployment rate and the foreclosure rate have tracked fairly close to each other.  It seems doubtful that we will see a significant reduction in the rate of distressed mortgage holders while still experiencing a rising unemployment rate.<\/p>\n<p>Following are the usual charts of King, Pierce, and Snohomish County foreclosures from January 2000 through October 2009.  Click below to continue&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Notices of Trustee Sale - King\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-King_2009-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[7960]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px;\" title=\"Notices of Trustee Sale - King - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-King_2009-10-600x435.png\" alt=\"Notices of Trustee Sale - King\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Only July of last year was higher than October&#8217;s reading of 666.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Notices of Trustee Sale - Snohomish\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-Snohomish_2009-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[7960]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px;\" title=\"Notices of Trustee Sale - Snohomish - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-Snohomish_2009-10-600x435.png\" alt=\"Notices of Trustee Sale - Snohomish\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>July and October of last year came in higher than October of this year in Snohomish.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Notices of Trustee Sale - Pierce\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-Pierce_2009-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[7960]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px;\" title=\"Notices of Trustee Sale - Pierce - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-Pierce_2009-10-600x435.png\" alt=\"Notices of Trustee Sale - Pierce\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pierce County actually dropped below the levels set in every single month of 2008.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 85%;\"><b>Note:<\/b> The graphs above are derived from monthly Notice of Trustee Sale counts gathered at <a title=\"King County Recorder's Office\" href=\"http:\/\/www.metrokc.gov\/recelec\/records\/\">King<\/a>, <a title=\"Snohomish County Auditor\" href=\"http:\/\/198.238.192.100\/localization\/menu.asp\">Snohomish<\/a>, and <a title=\"Pierce County Auditor\" href=\"http:\/\/hartweb.co.pierce.wa.us\/localization\/menu.asp\">Pierce<\/a> County records.  For a longer-term picture of King County foreclosures back to 1979, <a title=\"Foreclosures Yet Again Shot to New Record Highs in March\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/07\/16\/local-foreclosures-skyrocketed-even-higher-in-june\/\">refer to the final chart in this post<\/a>.  For the full legal definition of what a Notice of Trustee Sale is and how it fits into the foreclosure process, check out <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.leg.wa.gov\/RCW\/default.aspx?Cite=61.24.040\">RCW 61.24.040<\/a>.  The short version is that it is the notice sent to delinquent borrowers that their home will be repossessed in 90 days.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s have a more detailed look at foreclosure activity for October in King, Snohomish, and Pierce counties. First up, the Notice of Trustee Sale summary: October 2009 King: 666 NTS, up 4% YOY Snohomish: 323 NTS, down 2% YOY Pierce: 385 NTS, down 36% YOY Foreclosure notices dipped a bit in all three counties last&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8],"tags":[7,58,419,259,720,169,570],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-7960","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","tag-foreclosures","tag-king_county","tag-notice-of-trustee-sale","tag-pierce","tag-sb-5810","tag-snohomish","tag-trustee-deeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Foreclosures Still Stalled by SB 5810? \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/12\/foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Foreclosures Still Stalled by SB 5810? \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Let&#8217;s have a more detailed look at foreclosure activity for October in King, Snohomish, and Pierce counties. First up, the Notice of Trustee Sale summary: October 2009 King: 666 NTS, up 4% YOY Snohomish: 323 NTS, down 2% YOY Pierce: 385 NTS, down 36% YOY Foreclosure notices dipped a bit in all three counties last...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-YOY_2009-10.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/12\/foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/12\/foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810\/\",\"name\":\"Foreclosures Still Stalled by SB 5810? \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/12\/foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/12\/foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-YOY_2009-10-600x435.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2009-11-12T14:00:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2010-10-29T06:39:14+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/12\/foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/12\/foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/12\/foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-YOY_2009-10.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/NOT-YOY_2009-10.png\",\"width\":\"912\",\"height\":\"662\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/11\/12\/foreclosures-still-stalled-by-sb-5810\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Foreclosures Still Stalled by SB 5810?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. 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