{"id":8763,"date":"2010-01-05T12:20:11","date_gmt":"2010-01-05T20:20:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=8763"},"modified":"2010-01-06T09:31:14","modified_gmt":"2010-01-06T17:31:14","slug":"nwmls-closed-sales-sag-slightly-in-december","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/01\/05\/nwmls-closed-sales-sag-slightly-in-december\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Closed Sales Sag Slightly in December"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>December market stats have been published by the NWMLS.  Here&#8217;s the NWMLS press release: <a title=\"Western Washington pending home sales mark best December since 2006 \" href=\"http:\/\/www.nwrealestate.com\/nwrpub\/common\/news.cfm\">Western Washington pending home sales mark best December since 2006<\/a>.  Hard to believe they&#8217;re still crowing about <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/tag\/pending\/\" title=\"pending sales discussions on Seattle Bubble\">pending sales<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<td style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">December 2009<\/td>\n<td>Number<\/td>\n<td>MOM<\/td>\n<td>YOY<\/td>\n<td>Buyers<\/td>\n<td>Sellers<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>6,918<\/td>\n<td>-15.8%<\/td>\n<td>-20.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,462<\/td>\n<td>-7.1%<\/td>\n<td>+57.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.99<\/td>\n<td>+34.5%<\/td>\n<td>-36.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,413<\/td>\n<td>-10.6%<\/td>\n<td>+55.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>4.9<\/td>\n<td>-5.8%<\/td>\n<td>-48.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a title=\"Median Price Not Telling the Whole Truth\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/07\/08\/median-price-still-being-distorted-by-geographic-shifts-in-sales\/\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$380,000<\/td>\n<td>+2.7%<\/td>\n<td>-5.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Interestingly, <a title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/12\/KingCo-Pend-Closed_2009-11.png\" rel=\"lightbox[8763]\">last month&#8217;s pending \/ closed chart<\/a> predicted around 1,650 closed sales for December, but the actual number came in about 10% lower than that.<\/p>\n<p>Between 2000 and 2008 closed sales actually <em>increased<\/em> an average of 1.85% from November to December.  With future sales having been borrowed by the tax credit and shifted into this summer and fall it is not too surprising to see a month-to-month drop instead this year as we head into winter.<\/p>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a>, and here&#8217;s <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">a copy in Excel 2003 format<\/a>.  Click below for the rest of the usual monthly graphs.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s how the closed sales situation is shaping up compared to previous years:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosfhclosed2009-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[8763]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosfhclosed2009-12-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>More closed sales in December 2009 than 2008 or 2007, but less than every other year on record.<\/p>\n<p>Click below for the rest of this month&#8217;s graphs&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosfhinventory2009-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[8763]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosfhinventory2009-12-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The inventory in the last three months of this year actually ended up following very closely with 2002.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  In place of the now-unreliable measure of pending sales, the &#8220;demand&#8221; in the following two charts is now represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosupplyvsdemandpct2009-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[8763]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosupplyvsdemandpct2009-12-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the chart of supply and demand raw numbers:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosupplyvsdemand2009-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[8763]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosupplyvsdemand2009-12-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Even after the tax credit boost, 2009 was still a pretty anemic year for home buying demand.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosfhprices2009-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[8763]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosfhprices2009-12-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosfhpricesyearly2009-12.png\" rel=\"lightbox[8763]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 5px\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/kingcosfhpricesyearly2009-12-600x437.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" width=\"600\" height=\"437\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>2009 is the year of the bobbing median price apparently.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a few news blurbs to hold you over until tomorrow&#8217;s reporting roundup.<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.nwsource.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2010703876_homesales06.html\" title=\"King County home sales surge in December for seventh straight month\">King County home sales surge in December for seventh straight month<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle P-I:  <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.seattlepi.com\/realestatenews\/archives\/190029.asp\" title=\"Seattle-area home sales remain strong, report says\">Seattle-area home sales remain strong, report says<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>December market stats have been published by the NWMLS. Here&#8217;s the NWMLS press release: Western Washington pending home sales mark best December since 2006. Hard to believe they&#8217;re still crowing about pending sales. Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-8763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Closed Sales Sag Slightly in December \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/01\/05\/nwmls-closed-sales-sag-slightly-in-december\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Closed Sales Sag Slightly in December \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"December market stats have been published by the NWMLS. Here&#8217;s the NWMLS press release: Western Washington pending home sales mark best December since 2006. Hard to believe they&#8217;re still crowing about pending sales. 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