{"id":9825,"date":"2010-03-02T10:00:07","date_gmt":"2010-03-02T18:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=9825"},"modified":"2010-03-02T17:02:28","modified_gmt":"2010-03-03T01:02:28","slug":"february-stats-preview-wacky-warranty-deeds-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/02\/february-stats-preview-wacky-warranty-deeds-edition\/","title":{"rendered":"February Stats Preview: Wacky Warranty Deeds Edition"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With February in the rear-view mirror, let&#8217;s have a look at our monthly stats preview.  Most of the charts below are based on broad county-wide data that is available through a simple search of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.kingcounty.gov\/business\/Recorders.aspx\" title=\"King County Recorder's Office\">King County Records<\/a>.  If you have additional stats you&#8217;d like to see in the &#8220;preview,&#8221; drop a line in the comments and I&#8217;ll see what I can do.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your preview of February&#8217;s foreclosure and home sale stats:<\/p>\n<p>First up, total home sales as measured by the number of &#8220;Warranty Deeds&#8221; filed with the county:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/Preview_2010-02_Warranty-Deeds.png\" title=\"King County Warranty Deeds\" rel=\"lightbox[9825]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/Preview_2010-02_Warranty-Deeds-600x436.png\" title=\"King County Warranty Deeds - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Warranty Deeds\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Warranty Deeds saw a 29% increase over 2009 in February.  Unfortunately, for some odd reason, Warranty Deeds in the month of February specifically seem to be a less-useful-than-usual predictor of that month&#8217;s closed SFH sales.  Observe:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/Preview_2010-02_WD-Feb.png\" title=\"King County Warranty Deeds vs. SFH Closed Sales\" rel=\"lightbox[9825]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/Preview_2010-02_WD-Feb-600x436.png\" title=\"King County Warranty Deeds vs. SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Warranty Deeds vs. SFH Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Virtually every year February is the most extreme outlier when comparing the number of Warranty Deeds to the number of NWMLS-reported closed SFH sales.  If anyone has any probable explanations for this odd phenomenon, I&#8217;d love to hear it.<\/p>\n<p>Based on the rough pattern apparent in the above chart, I would venture a wild guess that February&#8217;s 1,584 Warranty Deeds will represent somewhere in the ballpark of 1,000 closed SFH sales, which would still represent a 51% increase over last year.<\/p>\n<p>Next, here&#8217;s Notices of Trustee Sale, which are an indication of the number of homes currently in the foreclosure process:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/Preview_2010-02_Notices-Trustee-Sale.png\" title=\"King County Notices of Trustee Sale\" rel=\"lightbox[9825]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/Preview_2010-02_Notices-Trustee-Sale-600x436.png\" title=\"King County Notices of Trustee Sale - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Notices of Trustee Sale\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>February continued the trend that began in January of year-over-year drops in Notices of Trustee Sale in King County.  That said, the number of foreclosures is still in very high territory.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s another measure of foreclosures, looking at Trustee Deeds, which is the type of document filed with the county when the bank actually repossesses a house through the trustee auction process.  Note that there are other ways for the bank to repossess a house that result in different documents being filed, such as when a borrower &#8220;turns in the keys&#8221; and files a &#8220;Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/Preview_2010-02_Trustee-Deeds.png\" title=\"King County Trustee Deeds\" rel=\"lightbox[9825]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/Preview_2010-02_Trustee-Deeds-600x436.png\" title=\"King County Trustee Deeds - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Trustee Deeds\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Actual completed foreclosures posted a stronger YOY gain than in January, increasing 44% from 2009.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, here&#8217;s an approximate guess at where the month-end inventory was, based on our sidebar inventory tracker (powered by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.estately.com\/\" title=\"Estately.com - Seattle, Portland, Bay Area, LA, and San Diego Real Estate For Sale\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Estately<\/a>):<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/Preview_2010-02_Active-Listings.png\" title=\"King County SFH Active Listings\" rel=\"lightbox[9825]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/Preview_2010-02_Active-Listings-600x436.png\" title=\"King County SFH Active Listings - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County SFH Active Listings\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Down 12% from last year, but still 34% above the 2000-2007 average for February.<\/p>\n<p>Stay tuned later this month a for more detailed look at each of these metrics as the &#8220;official&#8221; data is released from various sources.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With February in the rear-view mirror, let&#8217;s have a look at our monthly stats preview. Most of the charts below are based on broad county-wide data that is available through a simple search of King County Records. If you have additional stats you&#8217;d like to see in the &#8220;preview,&#8221; drop a line in the comments&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[567,7,129,419,568,254,200,570,569],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-9825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-county-records","tag-foreclosures","tag-inventory","tag-notice-of-trustee-sale","tag-preview","tag-sales","tag-statistics","tag-trustee-deeds","tag-warranty-deeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>February Stats Preview: Wacky Warranty Deeds Edition \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/02\/february-stats-preview-wacky-warranty-deeds-edition\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"February Stats Preview: Wacky Warranty Deeds Edition \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"With February in the rear-view mirror, let&#8217;s have a look at our monthly stats preview. 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