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Seattle Bubble Forum Archive • View topic - Best bets for Housing Recover article by CNN

Best bets for Housing Recover article by CNN

Anything and everything relating to Seattle-area real estate.

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Best bets for Housing Recover article by CNN

Postby Renter in Bellevue » Thu Jan 21, 2010 12:25 am

#2 SEATTLE

Median home price: $371,000
Value lost since 2006: 15.2%
Forecast gain by 2011*: 3.8%
Seattle has become a world-class city with a diverse, vibrant economy. As a home to manufacturers such as Boeing and software providers such as Microsoft, the job market has held up better than average, with a current unemployment rate of 8.8%.

Home prices had a softer landing as well, dropping just 15.2% over the past three years, about half the national average. However, prices do tend to be volatile, according to Mark Fleming, chief economist for First American CoreLogic. The lack of available land for development is one reason for that volatility, as are political restrictions on growth.

After another modest price decline of 2.3% in the next eight months, the market should begin to turn up. Between June 2010 and June 2011, the city should see a gain of 6.2%. Averaged out, that means a 3.8% gain over the next two years*.

And while that may not sound all that robust for those jaded by the annual double-digit returns recorded during the boom, that performance will be one of the best of any large city during that period.


http://money.cnn.com/galleries/2009/rea ... ast/2.html

Only 15.2% of decrease over the past 3 years?

#1 on the list was San Francisco. #6 was Oakland.
I thought California was one of the most overpriced states!!! LOL,.

For those interested, this guy is really good too!
http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/

Any comments?
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Re: Best bets for Housing Recover article by CNN

Postby rose-colored-coolaid » Thu Feb 11, 2010 2:09 pm

rose-colored-coolaid
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Re: Best bets for Housing Recover article by CNN

Postby ira s » Thu Feb 11, 2010 3:42 pm

I think rose-color-coolaid hit it on the head. Between 2006-2007, Seattle saw home price increases in the double digits, where many other cities were already declining. If a house was 400,000 dollars in 2006, and saw a 12% increase in value to '07, that would increase it to 448. let's say 07-08 saw a 10% decline, bringing it to 403, 08-09 another 10%, bring it to 363, and 09-10 another 5%, bringing it to 345. Voila! It's only a 14% decline from 2006.
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Re: Best bets for Housing Recover article by CNN

Postby WestSideBilly » Thu Feb 11, 2010 3:57 pm

What sort of magic are they using to come up with 6.2%? Is that median, median per sq ft, total sales volume....
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Re: Best bets for Housing Recover article by CNN

Postby Scotsman » Thu Feb 11, 2010 11:50 pm

Voodoo. Their 6.2% up is as good as my 8.7% down. If you can tell me what the government is going to do I'll give you a decent guess at the future. But I'm not convinced even the government knows what they'll be doing, and even if they have a plan it could all change in November.
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Re: Best bets for Housing Recover article by CNN

Postby ira s » Fri Feb 12, 2010 8:20 am

No, it's not Voodoo. It's more like the magician who pulls a rabbit out of hat. But in this case, the CNN analyst is pulling 6.2% out of a part of the body that is located way below the hat.
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Re: Best bets for Housing Recover article by CNN

Postby softwarengineer » Sat Feb 13, 2010 10:02 am

I Totally Agree With Obama This Time

Turn CNN, CNBC, FOX, ABC, KOMO, Etc, Etc Off

And get yourself out of the horrifying Stephen King mis-information news dome; start talking to real Americans and get real news....LOL

Hades, look out the window....the truth is in front of your eyes.
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