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Continued Market Deterioration Since August Reduces Fair Value of Firm's Subprime Exposure by $3.7 Billion - as of October 31, 2007
At the end of Morgan Stanley's fiscal third quarter on August 31, 2007, the Firm had $12.3 billion in U.S. subprime related balance sheet exposures representing $10.4 billion in net exposures, as indicated in the attached table. Net exposure as of October 31, 2007 is $6.0 billion. Net exposures are defined as potential loss to the firm in a 100 percent loss default scenario, with zero recovery.
Since that time, the fair value of these exposures has declined as a result of the continued deterioration in market data, as reflected by the sharp decline in the ABX Indices, and other market developments, including updates to mortgage remittance data and cumulative loss forecasts. The declines in value are outlined in the attached table as of August 31, 2007 and October 31, 2007.
As a result of these declines in value, Morgan Stanley's revenues for the two months ended October 31, 2007, were reduced by $3.7 billion (representing a decline of approximately $2.5 billion in net income on an after-tax basis). The actual impact on the Firm's fourth quarter financial results, which will include results for the month of November, will depend on future market developments and could differ from the amounts noted.......
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