by jon » Tue Jul 29, 2008 1:29 pm
I first became aware of the eco-religion back in the 70s with the start of Earth Day and everything else. The Department of Energy was started to help push through programs that were economically unfeasible. When Reagan tried to shut it down, he was criticized for being anti-environment. The criticism is that people who are opposed to economically unfeasible ideas are opposed to the end goal of protecting the environment. The simple fact is that if something is uneconomic, it means that more resources are going into an effort than are coming out. So it should have been no surprise whatsoever to anyone that more fuel was going into bio-fuels than would come out, because tax dollars had to be pumped in, directly or through mandates, and that is necessarily going to correlate with fuel.
Everyone has some metric they use to decide if something is worthwhile, and if a proposal looks good, things downstream from there get ignored. For some people that metric is the progress towards a vision of a self-sustaining zero fossil fuel world. That I believe is what is behind the current Congressional leadership saying "we can't drill our way out" of the current energy crisis. I read an article this morning by someone saying how great the current high energy prices are to change our thinking. But those prices mean that people less well off are suffering. A different religion places it focus on those people.
To avoid a repeat of the ethanol mess, we have to be extremely careful to look at all the consequences of any proposal. That was the problem for example with Kyoto. The economic dislocation proposed were huge, and the underlying science is "of course is it humans," with very shaky data, limited models, and a lot of personal attack.