Historical Interest Rates

edited June 2007 in Housing Bubble
OK...obviously prime rate isn't a mortgage rate but we have all read Ardells statements regarding historically high interest rates and the fact that houses were still selling.

Between May 1977 and April 1980 (less than 3 years) the Prime Rate went from 6.5 to a peak of 20% as can be seen on this table....

http://mortgage-x.com/general/indexes/prime.asp

Mortgage rates according to this graph & table went from somewhere around 8.83% with 1.1 points to 16.32% with 1.9 points during the same period as can be seen on this table...

http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/pmms30.htm

The question I'd like to ask is...

What if?

No point in arguing that "they went down after that 16.32% peak" as I would expect some of our resident bulls because as you can see...they came right back up...even reaching higher rates with more points.

Comments

  • well...we *all* haven't read Ardell's statements but I'm sure that some of us remember them from a few months ago.

    Bueller? Bueller?
  • I never see any real analysis from The Bulls on what happens to the price of a house as interest rates rise.

    I've asked Ardell, but I think Synthetik's dog would be better equiped to handle a question of that complexity.

    How is Ardell? I don't get over to RCG much anymore. Not that I am missed...

    I think there is an informal poll of when Ardell is chomping Top Ramen. I think I have the July 09 contract.
  • are those naked PUTs? I don't think you want that kind of exposure... My money is on the FEB 09 for the Cup O' Noodles and NOV 09 for Top Ramen.

    Good luck to us all..
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