Boeing! Microsoft!

edited October 2007 in Seattle Real Estate
Everybody knows that the continued strong job growth brought to our region by Boeing and Microsoft will keep housing prices from falling, right? I mean, there's nothing but roses and rainbows in the future for both of these companies...

...except of course the fact that Boeing's fancy new plane is being delayed at least six months (word has it that the problems are more serious than they're letting on in the media), and Microsoft's fancy new OS is so popular that they've extended XP's "life" by six months and are back-porting features from Vista to XP.

Also, has anyone seen any actual evidence to show that the average new hire at either of these companies is making anywhere near enough to buy a house around here at today's prices?

I'd love to see one of the real estate blogs or the local papers try to mount a serious defense of the "Boeing! Microsoft!" argument for continued price gains.

Comments

  • I love that people use Microsoft's recent expansion into new buildings as a sign that the company is booming. What most fail to realize is that the expansion isn't because of people they are going to hire, but that already work at the company. Overcrowding on main campus is so bad that people are starting to leave the company. I've been here almost 5 years, and I went from having my own window office (window offices are given out by seniority), to having my own non-window office, to being doubled up with someone that's been here even longer than I have. The expansion is necessary to accomodate existing capacity, not new capacity.

    As far as salaries go, unless I am severely underpaid there is absolutely no way a single income new employee could afford anything but the lowliest condo at today's prices without suicide financing. I've had nearly 5 years of raises and such and I can't. Microsoft has never been a big salary company, and now global wage competiton and H1Bs are also keeping salaries down.
  • ..
    I do not know how accurate this info is:

    PayScale

    ..
  • TJ_98370 wrote:
    ..
    I do not know how accurate this info is:

    PayScale

    ..

    In my experience, I would say that is an accurate graph. Either Microsoft or Boeing probably pays somewhere in that range. My hunch is a starting salary in either company is probably in the $60,000 range for technical work. And most workers with some experience (at least 5 years) are probably making between $70,000 and $90,000.

    Doing my quick back of the envelope math...$80,000 * 6 = $480,000. Yep, it checks out. One highly paid worker in a household can buy a median SFH at the historically average 6x their annual salary. Wait...what? 3x is considered affordable?

    So the result is any household with two software developers can probably afford the average house just fine. Except for on the east side where all these hypothetical two MS employee households live.
  • Maybe that is the answer to the Seattle affordability riddle - Don't even think of owning a SFH in Seattle unless you have an income level of at least two "professionals".

    That means June must join Ward Cleaver at the software factory and Wally and The Beaver become latch key kids.
  • And most workers with some experience (at least 5 years) are probably making between $70,000 and $90,000.

    I dont think that info is correct (atleast for microsoft). SDE with 5-7 yrs experience will make 90-110k (Not counting bonuses)
  • sid wrote:
    And most workers with some experience (at least 5 years) are probably making between $70,000 and $90,000.

    I dont think that info is correct (atleast for microsoft). SDE with 5-7 yrs experience will make 90-110k (Not counting bonuses)

    SDE <> Microsoft

    There are a lot of testers, technical writers, program managers, product managers, marketers, admins, etc. that work at Microsoft as well. YMMV as to whether they make more or less than Devs (and as to how many are now contracted), but my money is on that a good SDE makes more than most of those other jobs, esp. among the rank and file variety. Microsoft is a software company, but everything from the colors on the product packaging to making sure an icon doesn't offend some guy on the other side of the planet is someone's job as well.

    The idea of the Microsoft Millionaire still resonates with people, but since 2000 they haven't been minting them quite like they used to. The good old days of stock option grants and soaring MSFT stock are squarely in the rear view mirror. Hell, even IBM stock is outperforming MSFT these days.
  • Posting anon since supposedly I'm not supposed to tell people how much I make. I don't know if it's a strict rule, but better safe than sorry.

    I was hired about a year ago as an SDE (software design engineer) fresh from college with a Master's in CS (a Master's doesn't get you any more than a Bachelor's BTW). My starting pay was in the mid 70's and my first raise was dismal at less than 3%. At that rate I'll be able to afford a house when I get hit by a truck and die (and my insurance pays out).
  • ms wrote:
    Posting anon since supposedly I'm not supposed to tell people how much I make. I don't know if it's a strict rule, but better safe than sorry.

    I was hired about a year ago as an SDE (software design engineer) fresh from college with a Master's in CS (a Master's doesn't get you any more than a Bachelor's BTW). My starting pay was in the mid 70's and my first raise was dismal at less than 3%. At that rate I'll be able to afford a house when I get hit by a truck and die (and my insurance pays out).

    Posting non anonymous because I don't work there any more.

    Unless it's changed in the last 5 years...Your first raise always sucks because they have a quota of "not good" raises they have to give out and it's kind of tradition that the new guy takes one for the team. It's kind of a tacit admission that the review system is flawed in as much as someone has to get the smaller raise, even if everyone is doing a great job.

    It's like the corporate version of hazing the new guy.
  • The "by employer" numbers are available too.

    http://www.payscale.com/research/US/City=Seattle/Salary/by_Employer

    Median-Salary-by-Employer-Name---City-Seattle-United-States_USD_20071011032544.jpg

    Historically both Microsoft and Amazon have delivered a big chunk of their pay via equity (stock options), so median salaries didn't match total compensation that well. Similarly a lot of Boeing jobs offer pensions, which can actually be extraordinarily valuable in the long run. However it's not good practice to base your monthly mortgage payment on stock options that may or may not be worth anything, nor the future value of your pension. Stock options do however make a great source of a down payment--if you exercise them at the right time. You'll find Microsoft and Amazon option-aires in homes all over the nicer parts of Seattle (Montlake, Wallingford, Greenlake), but I'd guess almost none of them could afford those houses on their salary alone.
  • And lets not forget this little tidbit about boeing. While they have been hiring of late - their employment today is off by 1/3 since the peak in 1998.


    Boeing employees in Washington state, courtesy of Boeing.com and the wayback machine

    1997 97,724
    1998 103,420
    1999 96,510
    2000 79,900
    2001 78,200
    2002 61,900
    2003 54,096
    2004 55,209
    2005 62,103
    2006 68,002
    2007 68,570

    http://www.boeing.com/employment/employment_table.html
  • Seems like the bulk of growth of MS headcount is outside the US.

    http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/m ... cation=rss

    Apparently these numbers don't include contractors.

    2003836516.gif
  • One thing that people keep telling me is that new Microsoft employees will prop up the market, but one thing I noticed anecdotally is that a lot of people have enough money to afford something, but they aren't buying because they think prices are too high.
  • One word for all you whiney bubble-sitters and loser renters.....ZUNE!!! :evil:
  • ....Microsoft now employs around 36,000 people here, up from around 28,000 in 2004. With salaries averaging above $145,000.....
    ..
    Mr. Bill Gates salary probably skewed the average upward a bit. :)
  • TJ_98370 wrote:
    ....Microsoft now employs around 36,000 people here, up from around 28,000 in 2004. With salaries averaging above $145,000.....


    Poor Gates isn't going to be able to supersize his value meal! Really though, all things considered Gates and Ballmer aren't paid that much compared to other people at their level.

    An interesting metric would be the average salary of new hires since those are the guys who are going to be driving the housing market more than long time employees.


    http://blog.seattlepi.nwsource.com/micr ... blog_last3

    Bill Gates' compensation wasn't listed for the year because of a change in securities rules. Previously, the executives included in the proxy were the CEO and the four highest-paid executives, based on salary and bonus.

    Now, companies must include the CEO, the CFO and the three other highest-paid executives, based not just on salary and bonus, but also including equity compensation, such as stock awards. Gates doesn't receive equity compensation, so his overall compensation was less than the three named executives: Kevin Johnson, Jeff Raikes and Kevin Turner.
  • TJ_98370 - Actually Bill Gate's salary lowers the average pay at MSFT because he is paid an annual salary below $1M and does not accept stock options anymore.

    I used to work at Boeing and know several people working on the 787 (and other busy programs) and they are working severe OT. Two of them are bringing home an additional $1000 per month since they are working 12 hr shifts. Ironically the Boeing delay might pump more money into the local economy (stock price aside).
  • finance wrote:
    TJ_98370 - Actually Bill Gate's salary lowers the average pay at MSFT because he is paid an annual salary below $1M and does not accept stock options anymore.

    What? Bill Gates gets paid less than $1,000,000 and this *lowers* the average pay at MSFT? So if we removed Bill from the equation (say we fire him or something), the average salary at MS would go up? Correct?

    I'm no finance guru (pun intended) but that doesn't make sense to me. :)
  • finance wrote:
    TJ_98370 - Actually Bill Gate's salary lowers the average pay at MSFT because he is paid an annual salary below $1M and does not accept stock options anymore.

    What? Bill Gates gets paid less than $1,000,000 and this *lowers* the average pay at MSFT? So if we removed Bill from the equation (say we fire him or something), the average salary at MS would go up? Correct?

    I'm no finance guru (pun intended) but that doesn't make sense to me. :)

    According to the internets via wikipedia Billg made $966,667

    ^ Year 2006 compensation: salary $616,667, bonus $350,000. From Microsoft's Proxy Statement

    for the math challenged, he does indeed raise the average comp at Microsoft. I think Finance must have assumed <$1mm meant $0
  • I don't think stock options are included in salary (not that MS gives options anymore) since they aren't money, their value varies over time and can even have no value if the stock is below the strike price.
  • They dont give options, but they do give stock outright.
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