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Case-Shiller Tiers: Low Tier Cooled Most in August

Posted on October 30, 2013October 30, 2013 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.

Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details on the tier methodologies, hit the full methodology pdf. Here are the current tier breakpoints:

  • Low Tier: < $286,378 (up 0.8%)
  • Mid Tier: $286,378 – $453,899
  • Hi Tier: > $453,899 (up 0.4%)

First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through August 2013.

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

Here’s a zoom-in, showing just the last year:

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

All three tiers posted gains again in August, but the month-over-month increases were dramatically muted compared to July. Between July and August, the low tier rose 1.4%, the middle tier was up 1.1%, and the high tier gained 0.2%.

Here’s a chart of the year-over-year change in the index from January 2003 through August 2013.

Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers

After hitting an all-time high of 20.6% in July, the year-over-year gain for the low tier backed off a bit in August. Here’s where the tiers sit YOY as of August – Low: +20.0%, Med: +16.4%, Hi: +11.4%.

Lastly, here’s a decline-from-peak graph like the one posted yesterday, but looking only at the Seattle tiers.

Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers

Current standing is 26.7% off peak for the low tier, 18.1% off peak for the middle tier, and 13.6% off peak for the high tier.

(Home Price Indices, Standard & Poor’s, 10.29.2013)

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Seattle Price Gains Slowest of Case-Shiller Cities in August
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October Stats Preview: Inventory Up Year-Over-Year Edition

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