Seattle Bubble

News & discussion about real estate & the housing bubble in the Seattle area.

Seattle Bubble - News & discussion about real estate & the housing bubble in the Seattle area.

Entries Tagged as 'King5'

KING 5’s Up Front: Local Housing Downturn Not Over Yet

By The Tim on April 21st, 2009 at 1:36 PM · 23 Comments

Sunday’s Up Front on KING 5 focused on the local real estate market, and provided a relatively balanced picture. Host Allen Schauffler presented an overall picture of the current market, a look at a couple that got swept up in the bubble mania, a look at the next wave of adjustable rate resets, a warning about loan modification scammers, and an interview with George W. Johnson, Ballard’s 96-year-old real estate agent.

Here is the money quote:

Local economist Jim Hebert says those prices are going to drop even more. And that’s something people should consider now, when they make an offer.

[Hebert] “…perhaps what you do is you don’t look at today’s price, you look at the price in four to six months. And it’s going to continue to fall—for a while, it will fall. It must.”

Schauffler only interviews one real estate professional in the broadcast, mortgage broker Howard Bono, who forecasts a horizon of “three or four or five years” before the market gets back on its feet.

The overall tone of this most recent piece is a far cry from the November 2007 Up Front in which Lennox Scott, responding to a forecast of home prices dropping 19.5% in five years, made the assertion that “that’s not the projections that we’re seeing.” For the record, King County’s median home price is down 24% from its July 2007 peak, and 18% since Mr. Scott made that claim.

In stark contrast to Sunday’s balanced Up Front report is this piece from KOMO News on Saturday: Home deals: A bright spark amid economic gloom (emphasis mine)

It’s one of the few bright spots amid the economic gloom – a local real estate market that is brimming with deals and incredibly low financing.

But no one knows just how long it will last. So some people aren’t waiting any longer to make the plunge.

Coupled with the dropping prices are some jaw-dropping financing offers that are being made by some lenders. Some banks are offering rates as low as 3.875 percent.

“How crazy is that?” says real estate agent Becky Hiller. “I know, it’s incredible. Amazing – it’s just unheard of.

“I think the bottom has hit,” says [builder Mark] Huber. “Supply is going to start diminishing, and the good ones are going to go fast. This is definitely the time to buy.”

Because who knows when real estate prices will skyrocket once again.

Wow.

Props to KING 5 for a balanced and realistic story about the local housing market, and shame on KOMO 4 for running a thinly veiled advertisement for local agents and builders and calling it “news.”

Hat tip to RedmondJP for pointing out the KOMO piece over in the forums.

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Local Foreclosure Counseling Agency “Overwhelmed”

By The Tim on October 17th, 2008 at 10:04 AM · 24 Comments

KING 5 reports that the increase in foreclosures is putting stress on one local non-profit that offers assistance to distressed mortgage owners.

For homeowners caught up in the mortgage meltdown, finding help to save their homes is getting tougher. A Seattle non-profit group helps those facing foreclosure, but the small office is overwhelmed.

The non-profit agency called Solid Ground helps navigate the ins and outs of the complicated process and how to hopefully save your house. But with a 50 percent increase in calls and cuts in funding, the program is also facing hard times.

“Last week we had about 55 calls and we’re on track to have the same number this week. It’s way more than we can handle,” said Erin Reardon, mortgage counselor.

Wow, that sounds really… familiar.

Maybe it’s because KING 5 did basically this exact same story less than two months ago.

Housing advocates and lending counselors say they’re being overwhelmed with calls for help from desperate Seattle-area homeowners, many on the brink of foreclosure.

Solid Ground, which helps low income families, says it’s getting more than 50 calls a week from Western Washington homeowners who are having trouble paying their mortgages.

Foreclosures are definitely on the rise here in the Seattle area, but things probably aren’t as dire as KING 5 is making it sound with this re-run report.

Compared to San Diego, where prices have been falling for two and a half years and they’ve been seeing over 3,000 Notice of Defaults every month lately, the 1,000 monthly foreclosures we’ve had in King/Snohomish don’t look like much of a crisis yet.

(Roberta Romero, KING 5, 12.17.2008)

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August Reporting Roundup: Reality Finally Sinking In

By The Tim on September 10th, 2008 at 8:40 AM · 119 Comments

Oh man. They let Elizabeth Rhodes take just one day off, and look what happens:

Home Prices Slide Back to '06

Gahh! It’s right there in giant black print, above the fold on the front page! I can’t imagine the Seattle Times’ real estate advertisers feeling too great about this…

[Read more →]

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Desperate Home “Owners” Overwhelm Local Counselors

By The Tim on August 29th, 2008 at 7:28 AM · 37 Comments

Wait a minute… I thought only California had lots of people that took out dangerous loans, and are now at risk of foreclosure.

Counselors overwhelmed with calls from desperate homeowners

Housing advocates and lending counselors say they’re being overwhelmed with calls for help from desperate Seattle-area homeowners, many on the brink of foreclosure.

As interest rates reset, thousands of Seattle-area homeowners are facing skyrocketing mortgage payments – payments many people just can’t afford.

Hmm…

(Linda Byron, KING 5 News, 08.28.2008)

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Evening Magazine on Tim Ellis & Seattle Bubble

By The Tim on April 30th, 2008 at 8:03 PM · 27 Comments

Are you a first-time reader that saw me (Tim Ellis) on KING 5 Evening Magazine this evening? If so, welcome to Seattle Bubble.

First let me say that while I am flattered that John Curley and Jim Dever referred to me as a “real estate guru,” that is not a title that I have ever or would ever give myself. As I said in the segment, “I’m just a guy doing all this research, and putting it out there for you to see as well.” I hope that you find this resource to be of use.

Seattle Bubble is the Seattle area’s top resource for news, analysis, commentary, and community discussion on the local real estate market. We focus on productive discussion, improving understanding, and dispelling myths.

Please take a moment to look around the site. Drop by the About Page for a brief summary of what we do.

Here are some recent stories that summarize what’s going on in today’s real estate market around Seattle:

For anyone that is interested but didn’t catch Evening Magazine tonight, you can view the video on the KING 5 website, or right here (if you don’t mind YouTube’s lousy quality).

Update: Sweet, you can view a much higher-quality version on YouTube itself (but I can’t embed it).

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King 5 Evening Magazine: Real Estate Week

By The Tim on April 29th, 2008 at 4:00 PM · 10 Comments

Just a quick note to let you know that King 5 Evening Magazine will be airing a series of segments this week under the banner “Real Estate ‘08,” which as you can guess, are all about the local real estate market. You can catch the segments on their website, or on TV from 7:00 to 7:30. Yesterday’s stories looked at building perks to try to lure you into condos (with a guest appearance from my least-favorite SPU profs), Zillow’s “Make Me Move” feature, and (I wish I were making this up), a “house-selling spiritualist.”

One of the segments later this week will feature me gabbing with co-host Jim Dever about Seattle Bubble and the local market. I’ll probably post that particular segment on here once it airs.

P.S. (If the King 5 website tries to get you to register to view any of the above links, just remove the “http://www.king5.com/sharedcontent/membership/join.jsp?fw=” part from the address bar and try again.)

Update: I’ll be on tomorrow night. In the promo after tonight’s show they plugged my segment with the line “he’s the Seattle Real Estate guru who doesn’t even own a house!” That’s amusing to me, because I have never, nor would I ever refer to myself as a “real estate guru.”

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