a new record: 100 listings for East Bellevue (98008)

Today (August 15th) we finally hit the magic 100 number for listing in east Bellevue (98008) on ZipRealty. We are actually now above where we were in October 2006, where we previously peaked at 95 listings (before listings fell down into the '30s by spring).

Maybe Bellevue isn't QUITE so special after all... That said, we are nearing the end of the peak selling season, and we do tend to see listings start to pile up into the fall. When we hit 200 we will know something really strange is afoot.
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  • Bellevue will be the last place that prices fall and the first to recover in eight years.
  • On my week-end ride around Lake Sammamish today I counted 73 (it had been in the 50s a couple months ago) listings, which is the highest I've seen so far this year. The number of listings on the Bellevue side of the lake was the biggest change, with a lot more for-sale signs up. Nevertheless, the east side of the lake still has the largest number of listings.

    I also notice the same mass of signs for large developments that I've been seeing all summer. It doesn't look as if their homes are flying off the shelves...
  • We are now at 111 listings for 98008 on ZipRealty. But this likely doesn't tell us much now that we are heading into the pick listing period of the fall.

    In my bike-ride around lake Sammamish I counted 100 listings, the most I've seen for the year so far. Most notable is the number of condos for sale. Even in small complexes that couldn't have more than 20 units I would see 4 or 5 for sale signs.

    There are quite a few "price reduced" signs showing up now, and I can't help but notice how some very fancy homes have had for sale signs up since early spring. On the other hand, it's true that there are a good number of homes that seem to be selling quickly as well, with "sold" stickers gracing plenty of signs that had been up less than a month ago. Maybe some sellers are much more realistic about pricing than others?

    I am amazed at the volume of construction going up around the lake. You can hardly go a block without seeing some new house going up. There aren't any massive developments occuring (with the exception of one 80 unit condo-plex just north of Issaquah) but every vacant lot, or wooded slope, seems to have a foundation and frame sprouting up.
  • I think this whole bubble thing have gone beyond obsession for you...
  • Ubersalad wrote:
    I think this whole bubble thing have gone beyond obsession for you...

    What is obsessive about biking around lake Sammamish?

    I'll grant that I read every article I can find on the real-estate and finance industry (like I have been for several years now). The way I see it, the credit bubble, and ensuing contraction, will be the biggest single event in the lives of my generation (a 30 something). Just as people who lived through the 1930s never forgot it, I don't think anyone alive today will forget what came to pass when the great global credit bubble popped.

    Every day I wake up giddy to read the news to see what has happened around the world while I was sleeping. In fact, this year I have hardly been able to sleep for more than 4 or 5 hours a night since I am so excited by what is happening. I feel as if I have been given a front-row seat to one of the greatest events to unfold in human history, and I don't want to miss a moment of it. :D

    It's almost as if I was given a time-machine back to early 1929 and was given the extraordinary chance to watch events unfold for the next 10 years. It's just SO exciting!

    Of course, it's also frustrating at the same time since it's hard to just be completely detatched and have no oppinion on what happens as it unfolds.
  • fine, I retract my statement. you're not insane.
  • Ubersalad wrote:
    fine, I retract my statement. you're not insane.

    But if he uses this :shock: emoticon, can he be insane again?
  • We just hit 120 listings for 98008 on ZipRealty today.
  • I've noticed an ever increasing number of for sale signs around my neighborhood. Just yesterday though, I suddenly realized that not only were there a lot more signs than last year, but that I've never seen so many for sale signs in my entire life. Even though months of supply is still not high yet, this just doesn't seem like it's a normal market.
  • We just reached the 133 mark for East Bellevue listings (98008) on ZipRealty today. It's odd that the inventory East Bellevue seem to be rising even as the rest of King County remains stable.
  • It looks like the fall decline in listings is beginning. Today we hit 125 listings on ZipRealty for 98008. The peak number of listings for the year will likely stand around 135 since I don't foresee the number of listings rising between now and January. Still, with over 100 listings we are still far above the 2006 peak volumes.
  • We're now down to 120 listings on ZipRealty for 98008 (East Bellevue) as of today. The fall slide continues...
  • The inventory for 98008 has been amazingly persistent, and only just dropped to the 110 level this week. We stand at 109 listings on ZipRealty for December 24th.
  • We just hit 120 listings on ZipRealty for 98008 today. It looks like there won't be any significant listing drop for the winter after all. In early January 98008 listings had dipped as low as 103, but largely kept in a close band around 110. This is a far cry from last winter (2006/2007) when listings actually dropped into the 60s.
  • Here's something I'd be interested in: what about single family residential building lots for sale?

    Are these stats separate from the homes/condos numbers?

    I'd love to do a search on that and find out how many lots we have built up in inventory on the eastside.
  • jillayne wrote:
    Here's something I'd be interested in: what about single family residential building lots for sale?

    Are these stats separate from the homes/condos numbers?

    I'd love to do a search on that and find out how many lots we have built up in inventory on the eastside.

    Sorry, I don't know how to break out these stats. There are some additional stats I would dearly love to track. 1) How many builders have homes for sale that aren't on MLS? 2) How many for-sale-by-owners are there?

    When I do my regular bike rides around Lake Sammamish I notice an extraordinary amount of building sprinkled about on empty lots. I don't see any massive tract developments, but it seems as if people are trying to use up every available empty lot (or converting older lots into multiple stamp sized homes). I don't think these homes show up in MLS.
  • We just hit 131 listings for 98008 today (3/25/2008) on ZipRealty. For the last couple months we have been bouncing anywhere from 115 to 125, and in the last week we've gone into the high 120s.

    This is already way above the record for last year and the spring season has barely begun...
  • We just crossed the 140 mark today, with ZipRealty now showing 142 listings for 98008. We've been in the 130-140 range for a month or so for a couple weeks now but are picking up a bit more steam again.
  • We just hit 150 listings for 98008 on ZipRealty today.
  • So far, though, few sellers in that area are budging on prices, which are still near peak.
  • We just hit 160 listings in East Bellevue (98008) today. The numbers just keep going up...
  • Sellers seem to be blinking in that zip. A 1700 sq. ft. house just opened at $409K, instead of the typical (in the past few months) $435K+ for that type of house/condition. Some sellers in that area are still finding buyers willing to pay $400K+ for their 1200 sq. ft. houses.
  • We hit 174 listings for 98008 on ZipRealty today. There has been a spike in the last few days. We were range-bound in the 160s for a month or so.
  • There may well have been a drop off in listings this June for King County as a whole, as Tim has pointed out, but we sure aren't seing any relief for East Bellevue. We just hit 180 listings for 98008 on ZipRealty today.

    All I can say is "wow"! This is blowing away all the records I have seen, diligently watching this zip code for the last few years. Normally inventory doesn't start creeping up till the end of the summer/fall.
  • We now stand at 190 listings for 98008 as of August 11. Up and up...
  • There are 9,348 houses and condos in 98008, and 190 are for sale, or 1 in every 49.

    For King County overall it there are 425,451 and 12738 for sale, or 1 in every 33.

    Seems like 98008 still has a way to go to have the same ratio for sale as the rest of the county.
  • Thanks to the RedFin links Tim provided, you can get a fantastic historical inventory chart of 98008.

    As you can see our inventory is far in excess of anything seen from at least the fall of 2006 (which is the earliest data on the chart).

    INVENTORY.png
  • on Wed Aug 15, 2007, sniglet wrote:
    sniglet wrote:
    When we hit 200 we will know something really strange is afoot.

    I now see 209 properties for sale in 98008.
    Are we there yet? Or do I hear any bids for 300 by April 2009?
  • Niuska wrote:
    on Wed Aug 15, 2007, sniglet wrote:
    sniglet wrote:
    When we hit 200 we will know something really strange is afoot.

    I now see 209 properties for sale in 98008.
    Are we there yet? Or do I hear any bids for 300 by April 2009?

    Hmmm... ZipRealty is only showing 193 listings for 98008 this evening, but we are definitely getting close to the 200 area. Things are definitely getting interesting...
  • The inventory has actually been dropping in 98008 recently. We are now back at 177 listings according to ZipRealty.
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