refractedthought

Comments

• Another sign to watch for: deterioration of outlying markets. Yes, the numbers in Pierce, Kitsap, Snohomish, etc. DO matter.

  in What are the indicators signalling the end of the boom? Comment by refractedthought April 2007
• All it took me to recognize the bubble was one face-to-face encounter with a permabull specuvestor. All that talk about risk-free easy money turned the alarm bells on in my head immediately. After that I did my own research and concluded that the …

  in How did you first learn of the National Housing Bubble? Comment by refractedthought March 2007
• Because the subprime market is imploding a lot faster than I thought it would, I'm actually inclined to say we could see some dramatic results fairly soon. Tightening of lending standards affects everyone, so that six-month lag might disappear over…

  in 2007 Predictions Comment by refractedthought March 2007