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Case-Shiller Tiers: Low Tier Passes 25% Off Peak

Posted on May 27, 2009May 27, 2009 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.

Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details on the tier methodologies, hit the full methodology pdf. Here are the current tier breakpoints:

  • Low Tier: < $264810
  • Mid Tier: $264810 – $387274
  • Hi Tier: > $387274

First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through March 2009.

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

All three tiers dropped again in March, with the middle tier taking the smallest hit at -1.7% and the low tier taking the largest at -2.4%. The low tier has rewound to March 2005, the middle and the high tiers to May 2005.

Here’s a chart of the year-over-year change in the index from January 2003 through March 2009.

Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers

The high tier reversed its trend of improvement from February, hitting a new low in March at -15.8%. The low tier fell furthest over the year yet again. Here’s where the tiers sit YOY as of March – Low: -18.5%, Med: -15.8%, Hi: -15.8%.

Lastly, here’s a decline-from-peak graph like the one posted yesterday, but looking only at the Seattle tiers.

Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers

The declines in each tier seem to be tracking fairly close to each other the last couple of months.

(Home Price Indices, Standard & Poor’s, 05.26.2009)

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Case-Shiller: Seattle Price Drops Keep Gaining Steam
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Puget Sound Counties Interactive April Update

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