Since I took the time to take a complete snapshot of all the SFH on the market in King County yesterday, I thought we could have a little more fun with the data.
Here are the top 10 flops in the county by percent decrease from the previous sale to the current asking price. I’m excluding anything where the previous sale was prior to 2000 or less than a year ago. I’m also excluding short sales. While I have filtered some homes out of the list that were obviously just there due to some sort of data entry or retrieval error, some of these may still be due to a lot split or something similar.
| Rank | Address | Last Sale | Sale Date | List Price | % Drop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9441 SE 70th Pl, Mercer Island | $1,500,000 | 06.26.2008 | $749,950 | -50.0% |
| 2 | 17022 Military Rd S, SeaTac | $450,000 | 08.23.2007 | $244,950 | -45.6% |
| 3 | 19908 3rd Ave NW, Shoreline | $696,500 | 04.27.2007 | $425,000 | -39.0% |
| 4 | 29305 202 Ave SE, Kent | $715,000 | 02.14.2003 | $450,000 | -37.1% |
| 5 | 13050 SE 41st St, Bellevue | $1,300,000 | 08.24.2007 | $845,000 | -35.0% |
| 6 | 9148 7th Ave S, Seattle | $375,000 | 12.05.2007 | $249,900 | -33.4% |
| 7 | 3612 W Fulton St, Seattle | $1,345,000 | 05.05.2006 | $899,000 | -33.2% |
| 8 | 14910 NE Woodinville Duvall Rd, Woodinville | $695,000 | 01.22.2007 | $469,000 | -32.5% |
| 9 | 5129 S Morgan St, Seattle | $932,500 | 12.07.2006 | $629,500 | -32.5% |
| 10 | 28812 118th Ave SE, Auburn | $724,950 | 10.30.2006 | $499,900 | -31.0% |
And here are the top 10 in the county by the percent drop per year.
| Rank | Address | Last Sale | Sale Date | List Price | % per Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9441 SE 70th Pl, Mercer Island | $1,500,000 | 06.26.2008 | $749,950 | -31.7% |
| 2 | 17022 Military Rd S, SeaTac | $450,000 | 08.23.2007 | $244,950 | -20.4% |
| 3 | 9148 7th Ave S, Seattle | $375,000 | 12.05.2007 | $249,900 | -15.7% |
| 4 | 19908 3rd Ave NW, Shoreline | $696,500 | 04.27.2007 | $425,000 | -15.3% |
| 5 | 13050 SE 41st St, Bellevue | $1,300,000 | 08.24.2007 | $845,000 | -15.0% |
| 6 | 2399 140th Way SE, Bellevue | $1,030,000 | 12.12.2007 | $725,000 | -13.8% |
| 7 | 2030 S Main St, Seattle | $295,000 | 05.01.2008 | $229,750 | -11.9% |
| 8 | 14910 NE Woodinville Duvall Rd, Woodinville | $695,000 | 01.22.2007 | $469,000 | -11.4% |
| 9 | 5129 S Morgan St, Seattle | $932,500 | 12.07.2006 | $629,500 | -11.0% |
| 10 | 629 11th Ave, Kirkland | $1,600,000 | 10.24.2007 | $1,200,000 | -10.9% |
Ain’t real estate grand? It’s like a forced savings account where you can lose ten percent per year, leveraged! Sweet!
Here’s a summary of all the homes that meet the criteria listed above, no matter their listing price to previous sold price ratio.
Flop Stats Snapshot
Total # on market: 2,747
Number of flops: 661 (24%)
Average loss: -9.7%
Loss rate: -3.3% / yr
Number of non-flops: 2,086 (76%)
Average gain: 35.7%
Gain rate: +4.7% / yr