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Case-Shiller Tiers: Low Tier Surged Most in May

Posted on July 31, 2013July 30, 2013 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.

Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details on the tier methodologies, hit the full methodology pdf. Here are the current tier breakpoints:

  • Low Tier: < $273,610 (up 3.0%)
  • Mid Tier: $273,610 – $438,352
  • Hi Tier: > $438,352 (up 2.9%)

First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through May 2013.

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

Here’s a zoom-in, showing just the last year:

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

All three tiers posted considerably gains in May, with the low tier again gaining the most ground in the month. Between April and May, the low tier rose 3.4%, the middle tier was up 2.7%, and the high tier gained 3.0%.

Here’s a chart of the year-over-year change in the index from January 2003 through May 2013.

Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers

The low tier was also the biggest gainer in year-over-year growth from a year ago. Here’s where the tiers sit YOY as of May – Low: +16.7%, Med: +14.9%, Hi: +11.0%.

Lastly, here’s a decline-from-peak graph like the one posted yesterday, but looking only at the Seattle tiers.

Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers

Current standing is 32.8% off peak for the low tier, 21.8% off peak for the middle tier, and 16.6% off peak for the high tier.

(Home Price Indices, Standard & Poor’s, 07.30.2013)

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Case-Shiller: Seattle’s Spring Surge Continues
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July Stats Preview: Ongoing Inventory Recovery Edition

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