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Case-Shiller Tiers: Price Gains Slow in Low & Middle Tiers

Posted on June 25, 2014June 25, 2014 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.

Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details on the tier methodologies, hit the full methodology pdf. Here are the current tier breakpoints:

  • Low Tier: < $275,217 (up 1.3%)
  • Mid Tier: $275,217 – $443,041
  • Hi Tier: > $443,041 (up 1.6%)

First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through April 2014.

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

Here’s a zoom-in, showing just the last year:

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

The low and middle tiers saw growth slow dramatically compared to a month earlier, but the high tier sped up, pulling the overall index with it. Between March and April, the low tier increased 1.3%, the middle tier rose 1.4%, and the high tier gained 2.7%.

Here’s a chart of the year-over-year change in the index from January 2003 through April 2014.

Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers

Year-over-year changes slipped further for the low and middle tiers, but increased for the high tier. Here’s where the tiers sit YOY as of April – Low: +16.6%, Med: +10.2%, Hi: +11.1%.

Lastly, here’s a decline-from-peak graph like the one posted yesterday, but looking only at the Seattle tiers.

Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers

Current standing is 24.3% off peak for the low tier, 16.2% off peak for the middle tier, and 10.0% off peak for the high tier.

(Home Price Indices, Standard & Poor’s, 06.24.2014)

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Case-Shiller: Seattle Price Gains Cooled Slightly in April
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