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Case-Shiller Tiers: Low Tier Prices Increasing Fastest

Posted on October 30, 2015November 3, 2015 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.

Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details on the tier methodologies, hit the full methodology pdf. Here are the current tier breakpoints:

  • Low Tier: < $304,021 (up 0.4%)
  • Mid Tier: $304,021 – $483,387
  • Hi Tier: > $483,387 (up 0.6%)

First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through August 2015.

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

Here’s a zoom-in, showing just the last year:

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

All three tiers were up month-over-month once more in August. The middle tier saw the smallest gain of the group.

Between July and August, the low tier increased 0.6 percent, the middle tier rose 0.1 percent, and the high tier gained 0.4 percent.

Here’s a chart of the year-over-year change in the index from January 2003 through August 2015.

Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers

Year-over-year price growth was up in the low and high tiers compared to July, but down in the middle tier. Here’s where the tiers sit YOY as of August – Low: +9.2 percent, Med: +7.7 percent, Hi: +7.5 percent.

Lastly, here’s a decline-from-peak graph like the one posted earlier this week for the various Case-Shiller markets, but looking only at the Seattle tiers.

Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers

Current standing is 13.1 percent off peak for the low tier, 6.7 percent off peak for the middle tier, and 1.1 percent off peak for the high tier.

(Home Price Indices, Standard & Poor’s, 2015-10-27)

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Case-Shiller: Prices Gains Slow Slightly in August
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October Stats Preview: Early Sales Dropoff Edition

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