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Around the Sound: Hope is Hard to Find for Buyers

Posted on April 8, 2016April 20, 2016 by The Tim

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We haven’t updated our monthly stats for the local regions outside of the King/Snohomish core since last year, so let’s have a look. Here’s your March update to our “Around the Sound” statistics for Pierce, Kitsap, Thurston, Island, Skagit, and Whatcom counties.

How is the market doing outside of the central King County area? Not much different, really. Listings are super-scarce, demand is reasonably strong, and prices keep going up.

First up, a summary table:

March 2016 King Snohomish Pierce Kitsap Thurston Island Skagit Whatcom
Median Price $531,250 $385,000 $265,000 $279,475 $239,900 $305,000 $277,000 $303,000
Price YOY 20.7% 13.2% 8.2% 16.3% 4.8% 24.5% 12.1% 12.2%
Active Listings 2,157 1,124 1,715 539 706 342 414 738
Listings YOY -21.2% -25.7% -32.9% -33.0% -31.2% -27.8% -12.5% -8.3%
Closed Sales 1,910 938 1,185 334 358 109 155 235
Sales YOY -8.7% 6.5% 20.1% -1.2% 12.2% 0.0% 13.1% 4.4%
Months of Supply 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.0 3.1 2.7 3.1

It’s very interesting that Pierce County had the second-smallest price gains in March despite having a massive decrease in inventory and a big spike in closed sales as well. Usually with demand spiking and supply falling that hard I would expect to see a bigger price surge.

Median home prices were up in every single county from a year earlier. King County’s 21 percent increase was actually the second-largest, beat out by a whopping 24 percent increase in Island County. The smallest year-over-year price increase in March was in Thurston, which was up 5 percent.

Median Sale Price Single-Family Homes

Listings are down dramatically from a year ago in every county as well. The biggest dips were in Kitsap and Pierce Counties, which were both down by 33 percent from a year earlier. Only Whatcom county saw a single-digit drop, down “just” 8 percent.

Active Listings of Single-Family Homes

Closed sales were actually flat or up from a year ago in every single county except King County in March. The biggest gains were in Pierce County, which saw closed sales increase 20 percent from a year ago. Skagit and Thurston also had big gains at 13 percent and 12 percent, respectively.

Closed Sales of Single-Family Homes

Months of supply is bleak for buyers everywhere. Every single county had fewer months of supply this March than it did a year ago, and they’re all deep in seller’s market territory.

Months of Supply Single Family Homes

Finally, here’s a chart comparing the median price in March to the 2007 peak price in each county. In March Snohomish County joined King County in the “above the 2007 peak” club. The other counties are still below their previous peak by anywhere from less than half a percent in Whatcom County to as much as 13 percent in Thurston and Island Counties.

Peak Median Sale Price Single-Family Homes

In summary: It’s a terrible time to be a home buyer, pretty much no matter where you’re looking in the Greater Seattle Area. King County is arguably the worst, but the picture doesn’t get much better in the surrounding counties.

If there is certain data you would like to see or ways you would like to see the data presented differently, drop a comment below and let me know.

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Next Post:
NWMLS: Some Small Signs of Market Softening in March
Previous Post:
Case-Shiller: Seattle Sees Nation’s Biggest Price Gains

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