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Category: Statistics

Statistics, number-based analysis, etc.

Home Price Second Derivative Continues to Increase

Posted on April 26, 2012April 26, 2012 by The Tim

Before we put away the Case-Shiller data for another month, let’s check in on the second derivative. For an introduction to this particular view, hit the original post from March. First up, the plot of both the first derivative (year over year changes) and the second derivative (month over month changes in the year over…

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Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Takes a Hit, Still in the Black

Posted on April 25, 2012April 25, 2012 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties. Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details…

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Case-Shiller: Yet Another New Low as Winter Wraps Up

Posted on April 24, 2012April 24, 2012 by The Tim

Let’s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to February data, Seattle-area home prices were: Down 0.8% January to February. Down 2.9% YOY. Down 32.9% from the July 2007 peak Last year prices fell 1.9% from January to February and year-over-year prices were down 7.5%. Still moving closer…

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Upper Percentiles Rapidly Approach YoY Break Even

Posted on April 18, 2012April 18, 2012 by The Tim

Let’s take another look at the King County single-family sale price percentiles. Here’s how I break down the price percentiles for these posts. Each bucket is a cutoff where some percentage of homes sold below that price, while the remaining percentage sold above that price. Bottom: 10% below, 90% above. Low: 25% below, 75% above….

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Foreclosures Keep Creeping Back Up

Posted on April 12, 2012May 18, 2012 by The Tim

It’s time once again to expand on our preview of foreclosure activity with a more detailed look at March’s stats in King, Snohomish, and Pierce counties. First up, the Notice of Trustee Sale summary: March 2012 King: 600 NTS, down 45.6% YOY Snohomish: 349 NTS, down 41.1% YOY Pierce: 300 NTS, down 51.3% YOY Same…

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