Tracking Real Estate predictions

edited February 2008 in Seattle Real Estate
What's the recent track record? Let's start with this prediction published in the Seattle Times, December 30, 2006:
"This bubble lunacy is still prevalent, but not in Seattle, and I'll keep saying that," said Gardner, of the land-use economics firm Gardner Johnson...He expects closer-in areas to appreciate about 10 percent over the coming year...

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/r ... dix31.html

Oops! By December 30, 2007, the "prediction" for 2007 by Gardner published in the Seattle Times had changed:
Gardner now expects 2007's annual appreciation for the Seattle area to be in the 2 to 3 percent range...For 2008, Gardner is predicting anywhere from zero appreciation to home prices falling as much as 5 percent.

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/r ... der30.html

Just over one month later, on January 29, 2008 in the Seattle PI, there's no mention of zero percent appreciation:
"We're going to go negative," local land-use economist Matthew Gardner predicted.

Seattle-area prices should drop about 5 percent this year, he said. "That will turn around next year, but it's going to be anemic going forward."

http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/local/349 ... ing30.html

What's the prediction going to be next month?

:lol: :P :roll:
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