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Bloggership declines?

rose-colored-coolaidrose-colored-coolaid
edited August 2007 in Seattle Real Estate
finance wrote:
The overall volume on this blog has declined significantly. You would think as the Seattle market slows the volume would pick up...

Every week or so, I see a post like this one; either here or on the main blog page. I just wanted to clear up what we should expect, and what it means.

As the bubble continues to pop, blog activity should decline. Last year, if you believed there was a bubble, you were looked at like some sort of crazy person. "Housing isn't a one-way-bet? Impossible!" Today, the MSM seems to have about 5 market doom articles for every one puff-piece. We needed bubble blogs to find others who thought like we did. As the burst started, bailout talk exploded. We needed bubble blogs to voice outrage that we might be punished for wisdom and farsightedness. So on and so on...

It follows the parts of a story.

1) Exposition: One guy starts a blog explaining his problem
2) Rising Action: The problem grows, adding bloggers all along.
3) Climax: The Emperor has no clothes. Everyone has an opinion, and many chime in.
4) Falling Action: Results are becoming clear, bloggership drops as new information comes out at a slower rate and falls in line with previous knowledge.
5) Resolution: At most, one bitter guy is left grousing, but everyone else moves on.

So it's good if blogging is decreasing. That means we're entering the end game.

Comments

  • The_TimThe_Tim
    Actually, if you're referring to the readership, it's been increasing. See for yourself. Click "Weekly" then adjust the date range to the entire year, and hit "area graph."

    However, if you're referring to posting, well, I've just been somewhat busy lately, but thanks to S-Crow and Deejayoh, I don't think overall posting has dropped much...

    Lastly, if it's referencing comments, I guess I don't see the decline there, either. Most posts are getting 30-50 comments, which is pretty par for the site.

    So where's the decline?
  • carlislematthewcarlislematthew
    The Tim wrote:
    Actually, if you're referring to the readership, it's been increasing. See for yourself. Click "Weekly" then adjust the date range to the entire year, and hit "area graph."

    However, if you're referring to posting, well, I've just been somewhat busy lately, but thanks to S-Crow and Deejayoh, I don't think overall posting has dropped much...

    Lastly, if it's referencing comments, I guess I don't see the decline there, either. Most posts are getting 30-50 comments, which is pretty par for the site.

    So where's the decline?

    Blog bull!

    Unbeliever!

    Burn him!
  • rose-colored-coolaidrose-colored-coolaid
    The Tim wrote:
    Actually, if you're referring to the readership, it's been increasing. See for yourself. Click "Weekly" then adjust the date range to the entire year, and hit "area graph."

    However, if you're referring to posting, well, I've just been somewhat busy lately, but thanks to S-Crow and Deejayoh, I don't think overall posting has dropped much...

    Lastly, if it's referencing comments, I guess I don't see the decline there, either. Most posts are getting 30-50 comments, which is pretty par for the site.

    So where's the decline?

    I guess I wasn't stating that I had seen a decline either. I've just seen comments from some recently that this is occurring. I think what's really happening is some people visit the blog less, and then decide if they are doing it less, everyone else must be as well.

    The rest of my post was just an assertion that as the bubble pops I do expect readership to decline. I might be right or I might be wrong though. :lol:

    Good work Tim and S-Crow and Deejayoh
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