Seattle Bubble

News & discussion about real estate & the housing bubble in the Seattle area.

Seattle Bubble - News & discussion about real estate & the housing bubble in the Seattle area.

Entries Tagged as 'Business Journal'

More on the Possible Mastro Bankruptcy

By The Tim on August 15th, 2009 at 5:14 PM · 17 Comments

Kristen Grind over at the Puget Sound Business Journal had another great article about the unfolding mess with local developer Mike Mastro: Rival banks battle over Mastro bankruptcy

A legal battle between rival creditor banks over developer Michael Mastro Sr.’s real estate holdings is breaking out in federal bankruptcy court — a dispute that affects creditors’ ability to recoup their loans and sheds light on the extensive amount of property Mastro had amassed in the years before his financial trouble began.

Cascade Bank, Sterling Savings Bank, Golf Savings Bank and Washington Trust Bank, together owed more than $40 million by Mastro, have asked the court for permission to pursue their claims against him outside the bankruptcy proceeding. That would allow them to pluck their properties out of bankruptcy, foreclose on them and sell the properties to possibly recoup some of their losses.

But other creditors that are petitioning to force Mastro into involuntary Chapter 7 bankruptcy argue that a single proceeding would put all creditors, including individuals, on equal footing.

The banks — Columbia State Bank, Venture Bank and First Sound Bank — filed to put Mastro into liquidation in July, and Mastro has challenged the move. Until the court decides on whether Mastro can be forced into involuntary bankruptcy and whether some creditors can opt out, all legal proceedings are frozen.

The article also includes a list of some of Mastro’s multi-million dollar debts on various major projects around the area. One notable exclusion from the list was Northshore Townhomes, an 86-unit townhome complex in Kenmore featured on these pages last month. Mastro’s company owes $24 million to HomeStreet bank on that project.

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Major Local Commercial Real Estate Developer Struggling

By The Tim on July 10th, 2009 at 10:44 AM · 8 Comments

Speaking of developers having financial trouble, the Puget Sound Business Journal has a story up today about a major local commercial developer on the rocks: Developer Mike Mastro’s troubles mount.

A longtime, prominent Seattle developer is facing a mounting string of legal actions as he struggles to pay off millions of dollars in loans at dozens of banks across the Pacific Northwest.

Michael Mastro Sr., for years among the most successful commercial developers in the Puget Sound region, is quickly becoming a source of concern at banks — both because of their direct exposure and because of what his troubles say about the potential pain still ahead in the commercial real estate market, according to people familiar with the matter.

Mastro, and his company, Mastro Properties, owe about $500 million to more than 25 banks in Washington and Oregon, including local banks, such as HomeStreet Bank, and national lenders such as Wells Fargo and Bank of America, according to a Mastro company associate and other people familiar with the matter.

Mastro values his assets at more than $600 million — more than enough to cover his debts — and he expects to recover. But court documents and people familiar with the matter indicate he presently appears to lack the cash flow to make loan payments.

It’s interesting to contrast today’s market with what we were seeing just three short years ago…

Spec development, as in constructing an office building without pre-lease commitments on the gamble that it will attract tenants upon completion, is the new buzzword among real estate developers in downtown Bellevue.

Developers of at least four different office tower projects proposed for the city’s central business district are scrambling to be next in line after Lincoln Square developer Kemper Freeman Jr. to begin construction.

With no new office buildings set to be ready for occupancy on the Eastside until at least the summer of 2007, available office space in downtown Bellevue will likely become even more difficult to find as the local economy continues to improve.

Incidentally, one of the specific projects mentioned in the 2006 article about Bellevue office space was in the news today as well.

2006: More downtown Bellevue builders gambling on spec development

The proposed 15-story, 311,000-square-foot Summit 108 Building (the project’s working title) would replace the much smaller six-story Summit Ridge building, which was built in 1971.

Canadian developer Bentall Capital is prepared to begin construction of the new Summit 108 Building as early as this coming June, said Gary Carpenter, the executive vice president who heads Bentall’s U.S. operations.

The new building could be ready for occupancy as soon as March 2008, he said.

“At the present time, we believe we will be going spec” with the project, Carpenter said.

“Any additional office building other than your own is a concern,” as a developer, Carpenter said. “Fortunately, the (Bellevue office) market has the strength to absorb it.” even if it must compete for tenants with several other new buildings, he said.

2009: Stalled Bellevue tower site won’t be eyesore

Developer Bentall Capital is halting work on Summit III, a 15-story office building in downtown Bellevue, and says construction may not resume for two or three years.

But the developer vows the site won’t become another unsightly hole in the ground. It might even be attractive.

Between now and mid-September, Bentall plans to finish all the tower’s street-level surroundings according to plan — sidewalks, street trees, a plaza, fountains, flagpoles, benches, a sculpture.

Only the footprint of the tower itself will be fenced off, said Gary Carpenter, executive vice president, and that fence won’t be chain-link but an architect-designed, 10-foot wall.

How quickly things can change.

(Kirsten Grind & Jeanne Lang Jones, Puget Sound Business Journal, 07.10.2009)
(Eric Pryne, Seattle Times, 07.10.2009)

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Weekend News Roundup

By The Tim on July 6th, 2009 at 8:00 AM · 18 Comments

Lots of local real estate related news over the weekend worth mentioning. Here’s a brief roundup of the stories you might be interested in.

Let’s kick things off with some good news via Aubrey Cohen at the P-I. Looks like the state’s irresponsible plan to pre-distribute $8,000 tax credit is dead in the water, thanks to the IRS.

SeattlePI.com: State clarifies state of tax credit loan plan

There has been a lot of information circulating in the past few months regarding a possible Tax Credit bridge loan program that would have potentially “monetized” the currently available $8,000 federal tax credit for qualified first time homebuyers. This potential program would have allowed these first time homebuyers to actually come to the closing table with their credit in hand, as opposed to waiting to have these funds available until after closing.

On June 2, 2009, the IRS formally declined this request citing long-standing regulations requiring refunds be paid only to the person or persons filing the tax return. Due to significant financial risks associated with the Tax Credit bridge loan program and recent guidance published from the Department of Housing and Urban Development, the Commission discontinued the development of the Tax Credit bridge loan program.

Next up, a bit of humor from SmartMoney.com, who you may recall last October labeled Seattle as “in the best shape for a rebound.”

SmartMoney.com: 5 Housing Markets That Have Further to Fall

In the Northwest, median home prices are down but they remain above the national average. Portland’s prices fell 2.1% in March. Home prices in Seattle were down 2.0% for the month.

The Pacific Northwest bubble was among the last to burst, which could mean the market will be among the last to recover.

And here’s a handful of additional stories for you to digest this post-holiday Monday morning…

Seattle Times: Landmark Smith Tower mostly vacant

Thanks to the recession and Washington Mutual’s collapse, there’s no shortage of vacant office space in downtown Seattle. One of the emptiest buildings also is one of the region’s best-known and most-loved.

The 95-year-old Smith Tower, once the tallest building west of Chicago, is at least 70 percent vacant, according to online listings and commercial real-estate databases.

Walton Street bought the 257,000-square-foot Smith Tower for $43 million in April 2006, when the market was nearing its peak and the tower was 92 percent occupied, according to its previous owner.

Less than a year later the new owner sought — and ultimately received — city approval to convert the entire building to condos, a move prompted, in part, by the impending departure of the tower’s two largest office tenants.

When the downtown condo market began to cool later in 2007, Walton Street scaled back its condo-conversion plans to just the top 12 stories.

But it hasn’t pursued permits for that scenario for more than a year, city records indicate.

The Smith Tower has always been my favorite building in downtown Seattle. It’s a shame to see it sit unused like this. I actually like the idea of converting it to condos, although I’m not sure there would be all that much appeal to live in Pioneer Square…

Seattle Times: Lynnwood’s City Bank gets tighter scrutiny

City Bank of Lynnwood, hurt by heavy lending to developers and homebuilders, on Thursday became the latest local bank to submit to tighter oversight from federal and state regulators.

It signed an agreement, called a cease-and-desist order, that requires City Bank to shrink the volume of nonperforming loans and foreclosed real estate it’s carrying on its books; reduce its dependence on brokered deposits; increase its capital levels; and make other operational and organizational changes.

Puget Sound Business Journal: Lexas believes condo buyers will show up

Call him a contrarian. Escala developer Eric Midby expects to move ahead with a pair of high-rise hotel and condominium towers at a time when nearly every other developer has decided to sit out this market because of the recession.

Midby, a principal and development manager at Lexas Cos., is betting that by getting the company’s next condo project under way now, he can exploit a two-year gap in the delivery of new condominium units in downtown Seattle that starts next year.

“We firmly believe that Seattle very soon is going to have a shortage of housing, that all the units in downtown will fill up and there will be continued demand,” Midby said.

Seattle Times: Property taxes: Appeals shoot up is King, Snohomish Counties

Homeowners complained in near-record numbers about high valuations last year. Appeals of property values shot up more than threefold in King County, from 3,767 in 2007 to 13,156 in 2008. The last time there were that many appeals was 1991, when a sluggish real-estate market followed several years of rapidly climbing home values.

Appeals also increased in Snohomish County last year — from 1,688 to 2,347.

Appeals resulted in lowered values about half the time in King County and about a third of the time in Snohomish County, according to the assessors.

I remind any Seattle Bubble readers that are considering appealing their assessment that S-Crow posted a useful “how-to” on this process that would be a good starting point.

West Seattle Blog: City Council townhouse talk in West Seattle: Less (rules) is more?

…As in, less (fewer) restrictions could mean more variety in housing units. Or, so said the architects from whom City Councilmember Sally Clark and her Planning, Land Use and Neighborhoods Committee heard at Youngstown Arts Center Tuesday night.

The West Seattle meeting addressed only a slice of the Multi-Family Code Update, townhouses and “low-rise” zoning in particular.

And finally, here’s a national story on the subject of “strategic defaults,” which we have been discussing lately.
Wall Street Journal: New Evidence on the Foreclosure Crisis

What is really behind the mushrooming rate of mortgage foreclosures since 2007? The evidence from a huge national database containing millions of individual loans strongly suggests that the single most important factor is whether the homeowner has negative equity in a house — that is, the balance of the mortgage is greater than the value of the house. This means that most government policies being discussed to remedy woes in the housing market are misdirected.

…the focus on subprimes ignores the widely available industry facts (reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association) that 51% of all foreclosed homes had prime loans, not subprime, and that the foreclosure rate for prime loans grew by 488% compared to a growth rate of 200% for subprime foreclosures.

…although only 12% of homes had negative equity, they comprised 47% of all foreclosures.

Yow.

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Weekend Roundup: Empty Condos, Story Updates, & a Rosy Forecast

By The Tim on June 20th, 2009 at 11:57 AM · 35 Comments

Got a few interesting stories for you today.

First up, from the Puget Sound Business Journal: Seattle, Bellevue luxury condominium towers are slow to fill up

Three-quarters of the new condos at five major buildings in Seattle and Bellevue are unsold, leaving developers in a high-stakes battle to unload millions of dollars worth of homes.

The units — at Fifteen Twenty-One, the Four Seasons Private Residences, Olive 8, Bellevue Towers and Washington Square Towers — represent the majority of large condos that have opened here in the past 18 months. In many cases, dozens of pre-sale agreements booked by developers have failed to come to fruition.

County records show just 317 units have recorded closed sales out of the 1,321 offered at these five projects, which is fewer than some of the developers had expected to sell at this point.

The monthly NWMLS stats really don’t give us a complete picture of just how over-supplied the local condo market truly is. I’m still working on compiling the Condo Sales Status Project. There’s a lot of info out there.

You may recall the free advertising given by the Seattle Times to the Thorton Creek condos back in March for their “if you lose your job we’ll pay your mortgage” promotion. Another story about the development in yesterday’s paper contained an interesting bit of information:

Seattle Public Utilities recently completed the stream-restoration channel as part of a new development that brings more than 100 condos, 278 apartments, senior housing, a 14-screen movie theater and more retail space to the North Seattle neighborhood.

Lorig and Stellar Holdings say they’ve rented about 50 of the apartments, which exceeds their goal to date. The market has been slow for the condos, however, with only one unit sold, said Stephen Holt, partner at Lorig in charge of the project.

No word on whether that one sold unit was a result of their big promotional push in March. A representative for the developer has offered to talk with me, but unfortunately I have yet to find room in my schedule.

Here’s another update. Recall the October ‘08 post Former WaMu Pres. Tries to Flip Mansion. As it turns out, he was finally successful: Ex-WaMu exec unloads Seattle mansion

Looks like former Washington Mutual President Steve Rotella has been given a lesson in lost value, sort of like the shareholders who watched their stock tank in the months before the bank collapsed last year.

Rotella and his wife, Esther, just sold their Capitol Hill mansion for $4.7 million, according to King County property records, about $1.5 million less than they listed it for after WaMu failed nine months ago.

We’ll end today’s post on an upbeat note from BusinessWeek.

Two big factors will help bolster Seattle housing prices in the next few years: stringent building restrictions and basic geography.

City officials kept a tight rein on development during the boom. … An isthmus, Seattle is hugged by the Puget Sound on the west and Lake Washington on the east.

With such constraints, Seattle doesn’t have a significant supply of homes on the market.

Some areas of Seattle are on the mend already, with houses even sparking bidding wars.

Building restrictions—and the city’s unique geography—should help lift prices.

It would appear that the writers of BusinessWeek seem to think that the city of Seattle proper is completely insulated from real estate trends in Snohomish County, the Eastside, or south of Lake Washington. Interesting theory. Good luck with that.

(Jeanne Lang Jones & Kirsten Grind, Puget Sound Business Journal, 06.19.2009)
(Michelle Ma, Seattle Times, 06.19.2009)
(Kirsten Grind, Puget Sound Business Journal, 06.18.2009)
(BusinessWeek, 06.18.2009)

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PSBJ: Local Banks Feeling the Regulatory Squeeze

By The Tim on May 18th, 2009 at 1:55 PM · 5 Comments

Over at the Puget Sound Business Journal, reporter Kirsten Grind posted an interesting story today on their recently-launched BizTalk blog: Crackdown on HomeStreet Bank comes as a surprise

Washington state regulators don’t seem to have much patience these days for our struggling community banks and are increasingly slapping them with cease-and-desist orders to force a turnaround at the institutions.

On Friday, not one, but two of our banks said they were being held on a tighter leash by regulators, including Seattle-based HomeStreet Bank.

For anyone who’s counting, we now have six banks statewide that are working under stricter regulatory rules. That’s a lot, by the way. It wasn’t so long ago that the state had no struggling banks and a cease-and-desist order was something out of the 1980s savings and loan crisis lore.

The post goes on to mention some good news for HomeStreet: increasing mortgage volume and deposits.

If you’d like to discuss the HomeStreet issue in further detail, be sure to check out the forum thread started earlier today by a HomeStreet customer, who writes:

I switched over to Homestreet about a year and a half ago when I decided not to support the large, failing and decidedly insolvent (without tax dollars) bank that I had been using (BOA). A lot of my decision was based on reading their CEOs repudiation of risky loan making and guarantees that Homestreet had not engaged in any of that behavior.

Imagine my disappointment when this nonsense showed up in my mailbox.

Personally, I’ve been doing my primary banking through a local credit union (Prevail) for about the last six years now, and have found the experience to be quite satisfying. Perhaps the stories just aren’t hitting my inbox, but I haven’t heard of any of the local credit unions receiving C&Ds or being in danger of going under…

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Study: So What if Boeing Does Leave the Puget Sound?

By The Tim on April 14th, 2009 at 4:14 PM · 20 Comments

The Puget Sound Business Journal posts today about an interesting study just released by the Washington Alliance for a Competitive Economy: What if Boeing Left Washington? (pdf)

The report explores the effects of both an immediate withdrawal of Boeing in 2013 and a 10-year phased withdrawal from 2013 to 2022. In addition to estimating the drops in employment and migration, they also take a guess at how Boeing’s departure would affect home prices.

From the report:

Lower population growth reduces the demand for housing, which in turn reduces home prices. Chart 4 shows the percentage point difference in Central Puget Sound region home prices between the immediate withdrawal and baseline scenarios. The difference starts at three percent in 2013 and widens to 6.5 percent by 2030. For the rest of the state, the average reduction in home prices is smaller, 0.4 percent in 2013 and 1.5 percent in 2030.

With the phased withdrawal, however, the effect builds more slowly. By 2022, prices in the Central Puget Sound region are 4.5 percent below the baseline; by 2030, 5.9 percent below.

Interesting analysis. 5.9% to 6.5% seems to be a little low to me, but at least it’s a starting point for a discussion about the possibility of Boeing packing up and heading out.

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