The Shadow Inventory Myth is Dead

A little over a year ago, I wrote a series of posts in which I argued that “shadow inventory” (foreclosed homes held off the market by the banks) was nearly non-existent. "Shadow Inventory" Conspiracy Theories Are Nonsense Shadow Inventory Gut Feelings, Rumors, & Anecdotes Undocumented Shadow Inventory Scarce in King County Despite all of the […]

Undocumented Shadow Inventory Scarce in King County

Don’t worry: This will be my last post about the shadow inventory issue for quite some time. In last Friday’s post about shadow inventory, “Haybaler” shared a great link in which Calculated Risk reported LPS delinquency data for September. This data addresses the main complaint some of you have raised about my previous analysis of […]

Shadow Inventory Gut Feelings, Rumors, & Anecdotes

A number of you took issue with my data-backed claim that foreclosures are proceeding in a normal, orderly fashion and shadow inventory is a non-issue in the Seattle area. Your main objection seems to be based on a belief that there are large numbers of homes with mortgages that the borrower has stopped paying months […]

“Shadow Inventory” Conspiracy Theories Are Nonsense

For some reason, a couple weeks ago the Seattle Times website featured a syndicated article about RealtyTrac’s “Vampire REO” nonsense, which in addition to being a completely worthless bit of non-news, was already weeks old when it appeared on the front page of the Seattle Times website. In the comments to the article I did […]

Checking Up on the “Forced Savings Plan” Myth

Please consider the following excerpt from a post I wrote that was originally published on the personal finance blog Get Rich Slowly (and later here): …if home buying is like a savings plan, it’s probably the worst savings plan on Earth. Would you voluntarily sign up for a savings plan where well over half of […]

“Throwing Away Money”

One of the reasons we would often hear people use to justify overspending on a home during the bubble was that they wanted to stop “throwing away money” on rent. I would hope that by now most people have realized how ridiculous that concept is, but I thought it might help dispel the notion if […]

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King County NOT Running Out of Land

For those that continue to insist that home prices around Seattle are high because “supply isn’t keeping up with demand,” I would like to point out the 2007 King County Buildable Lands Report. This is what the report has to say about building activity in King County from 2001 through 2005: King County gained more […]