
By The Tim on January 11, 2010
It is time once again for our annual predictions post, where your host goes on record with crazy shots in the dark about what might happen in the Seattle real estate market over the next calendar year. For those of you following along with this game at home, here are the predictions of record [...]
Posted in Features, Polls | Tagged Crellin, Gardner, Polls, predictions, Scott, Tytler, Wood

By The Tim on May 20, 2009
A reader pointed out that I had not provided an updated chart of the long-term (50+ year) trend of local home prices since I originally posted my research in February 2008. So, here’s an updated look at the long-term trends in local home prices and affordability:
So much for Steve Tytler’s famous “stair step” theory [...]
Posted in Features, Statistics | Tagged affordability, inflation, NWMLS, original research, roller_coaster, stair step, Statistics, Tytler
By The Tim on January 9, 2009
Looking back at 2008
And now it’s the post we’ve all been waiting for (and by “we” I mean probably just me). Time to see which real estate “professionals” made housing market predictions that match closest with reality, which ones were more in line with the former Iraqi Information Minister, and what they’re all guessing [...]
Posted in Features, Polls | Tagged Cohen, Conway, Crellin, Gardner, Polls, predictions, Scott, Tytler
By The Tim on December 22, 2008
Here are a few local real estate stories to kick off this snowy Christmas week.
Aubrey Cohen, Seattle P-I: It’s refi — not buy — in Seattle’s housing market
Unusually low interest rates have spurred a run of mortgage refinancings in the Seattle area, but not necessarily more home purchases.
…
Andrew Gledhill, an associate economist at Moody’s Economy.com, [...]
Posted in News | Tagged Boone, Cohen, Everett_Herald, foreclosures, Moody's, Olympian, predictions, rent, Seattle_PI, Tytler

By The Tim on February 19, 2008
A while back (September 2006, to be more precise) the Seattle Times published a 22-year “analysis” of King County home prices, which essentially came to the conclusion that Seattle would be immune to the home price drops that were beginning to occur elsewhere around the country. Their graph of local home prices going back [...]
Posted in Statistics | Tagged inflation, NWMLS, original research, roller_coaster, stair step, Statistics, Tytler
By The Tim on January 17, 2008
2007 Revisited
It’s that time of the year again. As the calendar rolls over, the real estate predictions start rolling in. But before we get to the predictions for 2008, let’s look back at 2007.
My own guesses as well as predictions from most of the frequently-quoted local real estate insiders were covered in this [...]
Posted in Opinion | Tagged Conway, Crellin, Gardner, predictions, Tytler
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