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Case-Shiller Tiers: Low Tier Boosted as Credit Expires

Posted on September 1, 2010September 1, 2010 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.

Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details on the tier methodologies, hit the full methodology pdf. Here are the current tier breakpoints:

  • Low Tier: < $263,258 (up 0.3%)
  • Mid Tier: $262,524 – $402,831
  • Hi Tier: > $402,831 (up 0.4%)

First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through June 2010.

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

Here’s a zoom-in, showing just the last year:

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

Not too surprisingly, the low tier seems to have been the only one to benefit from the expiring tax credit. While the low tier rose 1.0% MOM, the middle tier fell 0.5%, and the high tier was flat.

Here’s a chart of the year-over-year change in the index from January 2003 through June 2010.

Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers

The low and high tiers marked slight improvement in their respective YOY numbers, but the middle tier declined notably. Here’s where the tiers sit YOY as of June – Low: -2.4%, Med: -3.4%, Hi: -0.8%.

Lastly, here’s a decline-from-peak graph like the one posted yesterday, but looking only at the Seattle tiers.

Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers

Looks like the low tier is making up a little bit of ground lately.

(Home Price Indices, Standard & Poor’s, 08.31.2010)

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Case-Shiller: Tax Credit Out with a Whimper in Seattle
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August Stats Preview: Continued Credit Hangover

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