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Case-Shiller Tiers: Low Tier Gains, Middle Tier Loses

Posted on May 1, 2013April 30, 2013 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.

Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details on the tier methodologies, hit the full methodology pdf. Here are the current tier breakpoints:

  • Low Tier: < $252,611 (down 0.6%)
  • Mid Tier: $252,611 – $403,620
  • Hi Tier: > $403,620 (down 0.6%)

First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through February 2013.

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

Here’s a zoom-in, showing just the last year:

Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle

The middle tier took a bit of a hit in February, the high tier was basically flat, and the low tier increased. Between January and February, the low tier rose 0.5%, the middle tier was down 0.7%, and the high tier lost 0.1%.

Here’s a chart of the year-over-year change in the index from January 2003 through February 2013.

Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers

The biggest gainer in year-over-year growth was the high tier this month, which had a 1.5-point boost. Here’s where the tiers sit YOY as of February – Low: +10.0%, Med: +10.5%, Hi: +9.0%.

Lastly, here’s a decline-from-peak graph like the one posted yesterday, but looking only at the Seattle tiers.

Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers

Current standing is 37.9% off peak for the low tier, 29.1% off peak for the middle tier, and 22.5% off peak for the high tier.

(Home Price Indices, Standard & Poor’s, 04.30.2013)

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Case-Shiller: February Home Prices Dipped Slightly
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