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August Stats Preview: Sales Slip But Market Still Strongly Favors Sellers

Posted on September 2, 2015September 4, 2015 by The Tim

Get access to the full spreadsheets used to make the charts in this post by becoming a member of Seattle Bubble.

With August now behind us, let’s have a look at our monthly stats preview. First up, here’s the snapshot of all the data as far back as my historical information goes, with the latest, high, and low values highlighted for each series:

King & Snhomish County Stats Preview

Sales fell again, inventory fell in King County, but increased just slightly in Snohomish, and foreclosures bumped up a little month-over-month, but fell from last year’s levels.

Next, let’s look at total home sales as measured by the number of “Warranty Deeds” filed with King County:

King County Warranty Deeds

Sales in King County fell 13 percent between July and August (in 2014 they fell 8 percent over the same period), and were up 11 percent year-over-year.

Here’s a look at Snohomish County Deeds, but keep in mind that Snohomish County files Warranty Deeds (regular sales) and Trustee Deeds (bank foreclosure repossessions) together under the category of “Deeds (except QCDS),” so this chart is not as good a measure of plain vanilla sales as the Warranty Deed only data we have in King County.

Snohomish County Deeds

Deeds in Snohomish fell 7 percent month-over-month (vs. a 6 percent drop in the same period last year) and were up 14 percent from August 2014.

Next, here’s Notices of Trustee Sale, which are an indication of the number of homes currently in the foreclosure process:

King County Notices of Trustee Sale

Snohomish County Notices of Trustee Sale

Foreclosure notices in King County were down 15 percent from a year ago, and Snohomish County was down 37 percent from last year.

Here’s another measure of foreclosures for King County, looking at Trustee Deeds, which is the type of document filed with the county when the bank actually repossesses a house through the trustee auction process. Note that there are other ways for the bank to repossess a house that result in different documents being filed, such as when a borrower “turns in the keys” and files a “Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure.”

King County Trustee Deeds

Trustee Deeds were down 16 percent from a year ago, and down 4 percent from a month ago.

Lastly, here’s an update of the inventory charts, updated with previous months’ inventory data from the NWMLS.

King County SFH Active Listings

Snohomish County SFH Active Listings

Inventory inched up once again slightly in Snohomish County month-over-month, but fell in King County. King is currently down 31 percent from last year and Snohomish is down 18 percent.

Note that most of the charts above are based on broad county-wide data that is available through a simple search of King County and Snohomish County public records. If you have additional stats you’d like to see in the preview, drop a line in the comments and I’ll see what I can do.

Stay tuned later this month a for more detailed look at each of these metrics as the “official” data is released from various sources.

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Case-Shiller Tiers: More Across the Board Increases in June
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NWMLS: Sales Slow in August as Prices Continue Surging

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