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Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Start Summer Strong

Posted on August 30, 2016 by The Tim

Let’s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to June data that was released this morning, Seattle-area home prices were:

Up 1.4 percent May to June
Up 11.0 percent YOY.
Up 5.3 percent from the July 2007 peak

Over the same period last year prices were up 1.0 percent month-over-month and year-over-year prices were up 7.3 percent.

The Seattle area’s Case-Shiller home price index hit yet another new all-time high in June, and turned in stronger numbers than a year ago across the board. This is no surprise really, given the June data we’ve already seen from public records and NWMLS.

Here’s a Tableau Public interactive graph of the year-over-year change for all twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities. Check and un-check the boxes on the right to modify which cities are showing:

Powered by Tableau

Seattle’s rank for month-over-month changes was at #1 in March and April, dropped to #4 in May, and moved up to #2 in June.

Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month

Hit the jump for the rest of our monthly Case-Shiller charts, including the interactive chart of raw index data for all 20 metro areas.

In June, just one of the twenty Case-Shiller-tracked metro areas gained more year-over-year than Seattle (the same as February through May):

  • Portland at +12.6%

The Northwest continues its reign on top as literally the envy of other states.

The same seven cities that hit new all-time highs in April and May did so yet again in June: Boston, Seattle, Charlotte, San Francisco, Denver, Portland, and Dallas.

Eighteen metro areas gained less than Seattle as of June: Detroit, Cleveland, Minneapolis, Chicago, Denver, New York, Dallas, Charlotte, Atlanta, Washington, Phoenix, Miami, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Boston, Tampa, San Francisco, and San Diego.

Here’s the interactive chart of the raw HPI for all twenty metro areas through June.

Powered by Tableau

Here’s an update to the peak-decline graph, inspired by a graph created by reader CrystalBall. This chart takes the twelve metro areas whose peak index was greater than 175, and tracks how far they have fallen so far from their peak. The horizontal axis shows the total number of months since each individual city peaked.

Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak

In the 107 months since the price peak in Seattle prices are up 5.3 percent.

Lastly, let’s see how Seattle’s current prices compare to the previous bubble inflation and subsequent burst. Note that this chart does not adjust for inflation.

Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index

Check back tomorrow for our monthly look at Case-Shiller data for Seattle’s price tiers.

(Home Price Indices, Standard & Poor’s, 2016-08-30)

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Around the Sound: Sales Slip In More Counties
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Case-Shiller Tiers: All Three Tiers Powered Up In June

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