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Author: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.

Poll: What’s Your Fireplace Preference?

Posted on November 3, 2013November 10, 2013 by The Tim

This poll was active 11.03.2013 through 11.09.2013

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Shadow Inventory Gut Feelings, Rumors, & Anecdotes

Posted on November 1, 2013November 1, 2013 by The Tim

A number of you took issue with my data-backed claim that foreclosures are proceeding in a normal, orderly fashion and shadow inventory is a non-issue in the Seattle area. Your main objection seems to be based on a belief that there are large numbers of homes with mortgages that the borrower has stopped paying months…

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“Shadow Inventory” Conspiracy Theories Are Nonsense

Posted on October 31, 2013October 30, 2013 by The Tim

For some reason, a couple weeks ago the Seattle Times website featured a syndicated article about RealtyTrac’s “Vampire REO” nonsense, which in addition to being a completely worthless bit of non-news, was already weeks old when it appeared on the front page of the Seattle Times website. In the comments to the article I did…

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Case-Shiller Tiers: Low Tier Cooled Most in August

Posted on October 30, 2013October 30, 2013 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties. Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details…

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Seattle Price Gains Slowest of Case-Shiller Cities in August

Posted on October 29, 2013October 29, 2013 by The Tim

Let’s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to August data, Seattle-area home prices were: Up 0.5% July to August Up 13.2% YOY. Down 16.6% from the July 2007 peak Last year prices fell 0.1% from July to August and year-over-year prices were up 3.4%. Although the month-over-month…

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