Last Friday, the Seattle Times ran an interesting story about a “limousine driver, earning little more than minimum wage” being approved for a loan on a $1.5 million condo in Bellevue Towers. The story was also picked up by at least one of the local television news outlets, and has been making the rounds on…
Author: The Tim
Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.
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John Talbott on Spotting the Bottom in Seattle Real Estate
In yesterday’s Bottom-Calling conclusion discussion, Sniglet asked: If Mr. Talbott’s predictions were to come true, and we reverted to 1997 prices, what would those be? What percentage of a decline would we be talking about for the Seattle area? I responded: Based on the January 1997 King County SFH Median of $179,500, and using the…
Bottom-Calling: So Where’s the Bottom?
So, after analyzing five (or six) different forecast methods, slicing and dicing the data, and squeezing out as many predictions as we can in a week, we’re left with one simple question: Where is the bottom? Here’s a summary of the bottom months for each of the forecasts we looked at this week: Even if…
Bottom-Calling: San Diego Lag Forecast
As regular readers of Seattle Bubble are aware, one of the most popular (and simultaneously one of the most controversial) charts we publish on a regular basis is the “Behind the Cycle” graph, which shows the year-over-year changes in Seattle and Portland’s Case-Shiller HPIs offset by 17 months from the YOY changes in the HPIs…