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Author: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.

Sellers in Cheaper Neighborhoods Accepting Fewer Lowball Offers

Posted on November 28, 2008December 1, 2008 by The Tim

I’d like to draw your attention to a post I made earlier this week on the Redfin Sweet Digs blog: Where are buyers getting the biggest discounts? The specific portion that I believe may be of interest to Seattle Bubble readers is the following chart, which is a scatterplot of Seattle-area zip codes, with the…

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Case-Shiller Tiers: Still Falling in Sync

Posted on November 26, 2008November 26, 2008 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties. First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through September 2008. Price drops accelerated slightly in September for all…

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Case-Shiller: Price Drops Accelerating Slightly

Posted on November 25, 2008 by The Tim

It’s time once again for an update on the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to September data, Down 1.4% August to September. Down 9.8% YOY. Down 10.1% from the July 2007 peak Last year prices fell 0.25% from August to September and year-over-year prices were up 4.7%. Here’s the usual graph, with L.A. & San…

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Rapid Rise in WA Bankruptcies

Posted on November 24, 2008 by The Tim

According to the Seattle Times, Washington State ranked 12th in the nation—up from 27th last year—for average monthly growth in bankruptcy filings between 2007 and 2008, with bankruptcy filings up 40% year-over-year. How is this related to real estate? You can probably guess… Across the state, declining home values and tighter credit have added a…

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October Neighborhoods Months of Supply Update

Posted on November 24, 2008 by The Tim

Let’s have a look at “Months of Supply” for the 30 NWMLS areas in King County. For an explanation of what months of supply means, please refer to the original neighborhood MOS breakdown post. Also, view a map of these areas here. October MOS for King County as a whole came in at 8.33 (compared…

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