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Author: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.

One in Five Pending Sales Failed to Close in Q3

Posted on November 12, 2008November 12, 2008 by The Tim

With Q3 + 1 month now behind us, it’s time to take another look at the relationship between pending and closed sales. Recall that in Q2, a record-setting 15.9% of pending sales had fallen through and never showed up as closed sales. Here’s an update. The graph below shows quarterly King County SFH pending sales…

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Highlights of the FHFA Streamlined Modification Program

Posted on November 11, 2008November 11, 2008 by The Tim

Here are the basics of the latest mortgage bailout initiative from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that was announced today by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. To qualify, borrowers must: Have a loan owned or guaranteed by Fannie or Freddie. Owe 90% or more than the home is worth. Be 90 days or more behind…

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Ask the Industry Insiders Why “It’s a Great Time to Buy”

Posted on November 11, 2008November 12, 2008 by The Tim

I’m in the process of sending interview requests to some of our area’s prominent industry insiders that we frequently see quoted in the local media proclaiming that “now is a great time to buy” or other such sales pitches. We give these people a hard time on here for their comments in the local press,…

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Government Loan Limits Lowered $60k for Seattle

Posted on November 10, 2008December 31, 2008 by The Tim

As astute market observers may recall, back in March (pre-complete-government-takeover) the conforming loan limit for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac-backed loans was bumped from $417,000 to $567,500 for the Seattle area (King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties). At that time, the local press was touting the new limits at “a big dose of first aid” and…

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Local Discount Real Estate Service Showdown

Posted on November 10, 2008November 10, 2008 by The Tim

As the housing market has slowed dramatically from the heady boom years of 2005 and 2006, the number of discount real estate brokers has been on the rise. While Redfin made a big splash in 2004, and continues to be the discount market leader, as the market tumbles other competitors continue to crop up. As…

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