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Author: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.

Announcing Sound Housing Quarterly, a Puget Sound Housing Journal

Posted on October 24, 2008January 19, 2010 by The Tim

I’m proud to announce the latest project that I have been working on related to Seattle Bubble: Sound Housing Quarterly. Sound Housing Quarterly is a subscription-based journal of the Puget Sound residential real estate market. It was created for people who like the kind of analysis and insight offered on Seattle Bubble, but crave… …greater…

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Comparing Past Market Crashes

Posted on October 24, 2008October 24, 2008 by The Tim

Since the stock market is all over the news again today, I thought it would be interesting to look at some past stock crashes and see how the current one compares. In the chart below I have graphed the crashes of 1929, 1973, 1987, and 2001 alongside the current fall, with the peak points aligned…

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September Foreclosure Data (w/ Long-Term Chart)

Posted on October 23, 2008October 24, 2008 by The Tim

When I posted August foreclosure data from RealtyTrac last month with data going back to 2005, a complaint was aired (which I agreed with) that 2005-2008 is not sufficiently long-term. So, I spent some time with King County Records, and generated the following chart of Notice of Trustee sales going all the way back to…

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SmartMoney: Seattle in Best Shape for a “Rebound”

Posted on October 22, 2008October 22, 2008 by The Tim

Although the local media can be a pretty good source of amusing overly optimistic predictions, they certainly don’t have the monopoly. Check out this entertaining article from SmartMoney magazine: Home Prices: Now for the Good News We dug into [the PMI risk index] as well as other forecasts and analysis to determine which markets are…

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“Out here in Seattle, we were living in a bubble.”

Posted on October 21, 2008October 28, 2008 by The Tim

These articles are a bit off-topic from the usual news about residential real estate, but I thought they were at least worth a brief mention. New York Times: In Seattle, Office Vacancy Rate Is Rising Fast Not long ago, Seattle looked invincible, even as an economic downturn was starting to plague the rest of the…

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