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Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Keep Powering Up, Up, Up

Posted on July 26, 2016 by The Tim

Let’s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to May data that was released this morning, Seattle-area home prices were:

Up 1.4 percent April to May
Up 10.7 percent YOY.
Up 3.9 percent from the July 2007 peak

Over the same period last year prices were up 1.4 percent month-over-month and year-over-year prices were up 7.4 percent.

The Seattle area’s Case-Shiller home price index hit another new all-time high in May, but dropped from the largest month-over-month gain of all twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities in April to number four in May.

Here’s a Tableau Public interactive graph of the year-over-year change for all twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities. Check and un-check the boxes on the right to modify which cities are showing:

Powered by Tableau

Seattle’s rank for month-over-month changes was at #1 in March and April, but dropped to #4 in May.

Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month

Hit the jump for the rest of our monthly Case-Shiller charts, including the interactive chart of raw index data for all 20 metro areas.

In May, just one of the twenty Case-Shiller-tracked metro areas gained more year-over-year than Seattle (the same as February and March):

  • Portland at +12.5%

The Northwest continues its reign on top as literally the envy of other states.

The same seven cities that hit new all-time highs in April did so again in May: Boston, Seattle, Charlotte, San Francisco, Denver, Portland, and Dallas.

Eighteen metro areas gained less than Seattle as of May: Denver, Dallas, Tampa, Miami, San Francisco, San Diego, Atlanta, Boston, Detroit, Los Angeles, Phoenix, Las Vegas, Minneapolis, Charlotte, Chicago, Cleveland, Washington, and New York.

Here’s the interactive chart of the raw HPI for all twenty metro areas through May.

Powered by Tableau

Here’s an update to the peak-decline graph, inspired by a graph created by reader CrystalBall. This chart takes the twelve metro areas whose peak index was greater than 175, and tracks how far they have fallen so far from their peak. The horizontal axis shows the total number of months since each individual city peaked.

Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak

In the 106 months since the price peak in Seattle prices are up 3.9 percent.

Lastly, let’s see what month in the past Seattle’s current prices most compare to. Note that this chart does not adjust for inflation.

Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index

Check back tomorrow for our monthly look at Case-Shiller data for Seattle’s price tiers.

(Home Price Indices, Standard & Poor’s, 2016-07-26)

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Around The Sound: King County Slightly Less Bleak For Buyers Than Surrounding Region
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Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Seven Percent Above 2007 Peak

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