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Author: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.

Low Rates Continue To Prop Up Affordability

Posted on June 20, 2016July 7, 2016 by The Tim

It was recently requested that I take a refreshed look at the affordability stats, so here’s an updated look at our affordability index charts for the counties around Puget Sound.

As of May, affordability is still not great for home buyers, but it would be much, much worse if not for the current absurdly low interest rates.

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NWMLS: Strong Demand As Pending Sales Hit All-Time High

Posted on June 7, 2016July 7, 2016 by The Tim

May market stats were published by the NWMLS yesterday.

Pending sales of single-family homes in King County hit an all-time high in May. This does not bode well for buyers hoping for any sort of relief from stiff competition and fast-rising prices. Inventory did increase month-over-month, but barely.

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May Stats Preview: Another Terrible Month for Buyers

Posted on June 7, 2016 by The Tim

This post is a little tardy, but I wanted to make sure these charts were posted nonetheless. I’ll post yesterday’s NWMLS numbers a little later this morning. First up, here’s the snapshot of all the data as far back as my historical information goes, with the latest, high, and low values highlighted for each series:…

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Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Surpass 2007 Peak

Posted on May 31, 2016June 2, 2016 by The Tim

Let’s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to March data that was released today, Seattle-area home prices were: Up 2.4 percent February to March Up 10.8 percent YOY. Up 0.4 percent from the July 2007 peak Over the same period last year prices were up 2.3 percent…

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Eric Fischer: San Francisco Housing Model

No, Seattle Affordability Is Not “Pretty Much Game Over”

Posted on May 18, 2016 by The Tim

A few weeks ago Stranger writer Charles Mudede published a post in which he argued that “Seattle Is Pretty Much Game Over” in terms of housing affordability. There was a time when something could have been done to avoid its entry into the locked cycle of asset value inflation, but that was a few years…

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