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Author: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.

October Stats Preview: Early Sales Dropoff Edition

Posted on November 3, 2015November 12, 2015 by The Tim

Sales dropped off a decent amount month-over-month, during a time when they rose a year ago, so the year-over-year growth fell off dramatically. Meanwhile inventory in both counties saw another year-over-year decline that was the biggest in two and a half years. Foreclosure notices in both counties were down slightly month-over-month and year-over-year.

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Case-Shiller Tiers: Low Tier Prices Increasing Fastest

Posted on October 30, 2015November 3, 2015 by The Tim

Let’s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller’s “Seattle” data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties. Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details…

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Case-Shiller: Prices Gains Slow Slightly in August

Posted on October 27, 2015October 30, 2015 by The Tim

Let’s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to August data that was released today, Seattle-area home prices were: Up 0.3 percent July to August Up 7.6 percent YOY. Down 4.4 percent from the July 2007 peak Last year at this time prices were flat month-over-month and year-over-year…

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Will a No Vote on Prop. 1 “Keep Seattle Affordable”?

Posted on October 26, 2015 by The Tim

This is rich. I spotted the ad at right this morning. I laughed out loud when I read it. Specifically the first word there: “keep.” If you’re not wealthy, Seattle is already unaffordable by nearly any metric. Rents are soaring, home prices are hitting new all-time highs, and inventory of both rentals and for-sale homes…

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Seattle Housing Market Hotter Than Ever in 2015

Posted on October 21, 2015October 26, 2015 by The Tim

I’d like to introduce a new chart. The “Residential Real Estate Heat Index” is an index I’ve been calculating for a few years, that originally was part of the now-defunct Sound Housing Quarterly newsletter. It rolls changes in the median price, new listings, total inventory, pending sales and closed sales all into a single number to measure the relative “heat” of the market.

Here’s what it looks like for King County single-family homes and condos…

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